- The Padres are -135 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Dodgers vs Padres Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Dodgers / Padres TV Channel: SNLA | PDTV
The Los Angeles Dodgers (+115) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-135) on Wednesday, July 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Dodgers are 63-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 57-52 ATS.
Dodgers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw 0-0, 4.50 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 10-8, 3.51 ERA
Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -200 | O 7 -115 | +115 |
| Padres | -1.5 +165 | U 7 -105 | -135 |
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cavan Biggio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+22.00 Units / 367% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 33 games (+20.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 33 games (+12.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+12.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 9 games (+10.45 Units / 90% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 38 games (+38.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 41 games (+13.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+12.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.25 Units / 32% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 away games (+5.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games (+5.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 away games (+3.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 77 games (+9.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+6.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.45 Units / 24% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 53-55 against the Run Line (-7.45 Units / -5.71% ROI).
- 63-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.15 Units / -6.85% ROI
- 55-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -1.77% ROI
- 52-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.65 Units / -7.24% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 57-52 against the Run Line (+6.55 Units / 4.75% ROI).
- 58-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -1.22% ROI
- 58-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.65 Units / 3.07% ROI
- 50-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.45 Units / -11.91% ROI
Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Padres vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Padres vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease (SD) | 8.5 +120 | 8.5 -155 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 58% of the time (424/725) when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total SL; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has allowed an OPS of just .441 (203 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total IP; League Avg: .730 — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has allowed an OBP of just .249 (406 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 99th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has allowed an OBP of just .241 (203 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total IP; League Avg: .320 — 100th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .255 (513 PAs) this season — tied for sixth best among qualified SPs– 92nd Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PAs) last season — third worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 82 of 781 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 38% (203/542) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .194 (133-for-686) against Dylan Cease when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 242-46 (.840) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 53-25 (.679) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Dodgers are 28-15 (.651) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Dodgers are 270-131 (.673) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are 32-24 (.571) after a win this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .490.
The Padres are just 13-23 (.361) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Padres are just 13-16 (.448) after a home loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Padres are 18-13 (.581) after a road win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .459.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .785 (7,527 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of 1.201 (3,325 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.080.
The Dodgers are batting .365 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .759 (5,133 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .279 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Padres are batting .264 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Padres hitters have just 1,465 strikeouts in 7,348 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have just 522 strikeouts in 2,867 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,201 of 15,909 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers have allowed 3.96 runs per game (535/135) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.54.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,921 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Yu Darvish (San Diego Padres): Personal, Out
- Rougned Odor (San Diego Padres): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tom Cosgrove (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Suspension, Suspension
- Joe Musgrove (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Fernando Tatis (San Diego Padres): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Glasnow (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Miguel Rojas (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Ryan Brasier (Los Angeles Dodgers): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Connor Brogdon (Los Angeles Dodgers): Foot, 60-Day IL
- Mookie Betts (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Muncy (Los Angeles Dodgers): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Neck, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Michael Grove (Los Angeles Dodgers): Ribs, 15-Day IL
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