- The Dodgers are -200 favorites vs the Pirates
- Dodgers vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Dodgers / Pirates TV Channel: SNLA | SNPT
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-190) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+155) on Tuesday, June 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Dodgers are 38-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 32-27 ATS.
Dodgers vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 6-3, 3.03 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 3-5, 3.56 ERA
Dodgers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -110 | O 8 -120 | -190 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -110 | U 8 +100 | +155 |
Dodgers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 65.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Will Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 16 away games (+18.50 Units / 116% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 44 games (+14.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+13.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+12.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.10 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 47 games (+11.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+10.40 Units / 104% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+9.85 Units / 25% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 38 games (+6.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 games (+3.65 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+11.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+7.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.75 Units / 37% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 32-29 against the Run Line (-0.5 Units / -0.7% ROI).
- 38-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.85 Units / -5.77% ROI
- 29-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -7.42% ROI
- 31-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -1.26% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 32-27 against the Run Line (+1.86 Units / 2.35% ROI).
- 27-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -9.85% ROI
- 30-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 4.29% ROI
- 25-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.47 Units / -11.57% ROI
Pirates vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Pirates vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Gavin Lux (LAD) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Pirates vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jared Jones (PIT) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
| Tyler Glasnow (LAD) | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -125 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 48% (25 SO in 52 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .174 (46-for-264) against Tyler Glasnow this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .129 (13-for-101) against Tyler Glasnow when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has allowed an OPS of just .435 (108 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .674 — 97th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jared Jones has a strike rate of 72% (203/283) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Jared Jones has allowed three-ball counts to 10% of batters they faced (13/125 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of 57% (271/472) against Jared Jones this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (34/90) against Jared Jones on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Dodgers are 49-19 (.721) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Dodgers are 225-40 (.849) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 92-44 (.676) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Dodgers are 247-113 (.686) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Pirates are just 11-15 (.423) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Pirates are just 68-95 (.417) after a win since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Pirates are 51-9 (.850) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
The Pirates are just 28-45 (.384) after a road win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .786 (6,167 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .785 (10,676 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (10,676 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .462 with bases empty this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .375.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 44 strikeouts in 110 PA’s (40%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 172 strikeouts in 492 PA’s (35%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Pirates are batting just .152 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .495 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Dodgers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,040 of 14,107 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers have allowed 3.71 runs per game (705/190) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.55 (1719.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Pirates pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 2,400 times since the 2022 season — 3rd most in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,368 of 14,752 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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