- The Dodgers are -165 favorites vs the Twins
- Dodgers vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | SNLA | MLBN
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-165) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+140) on Wednesday, April 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Dodgers are 10-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 3-6 ATS.
Dodgers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Bobby Miller 1-1, 5.88 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 0-0, 4.50 ERA
Dodgers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Dodgers | -1.5 -105 | O 8.5 -105 | -165 |
Twins | +1.5 -115 | U 8.5 -115 | +140 |
Dodgers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 62.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+16.50 Units / 62% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Will Smith has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+9.90 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+8.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.10 Units / 68% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.05 Units / 85% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 74 away games (+18.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.34 Units / 88% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 7-7 against the Run Line (-0.54 Units / -3.48% ROI).
- 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 11.03% ROI
- 9-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.62 Units / 29.85% ROI
- 4-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -37.61% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 3-6 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -22.46% ROI).
- 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -40.72% ROI
- 3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -36.84% ROI
- 6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 31.38% ROI
Twins vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ohtani | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -250 |
Muncy | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
Hernandez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Betts | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Buxton | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Twins vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Hernandez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Rojas | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Kirilloff | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Correa | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Muncy | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Twins vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ohtani | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
Muncy | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Hernandez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Freeman | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Betts | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Twins vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Paddack | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Miller | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -135 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bobby Miller has a strikeout rate of 44% (14 SO in 32 PAs) this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Bobby Miller had an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.
Bobby Miller has an average fastball velocity of 98.4 MPH this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 99th Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit just .181 against Bobby Miller since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Paddack has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 40% (6/15) of opposing batters this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 15% (6/40) against Chris Paddack this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Chris Paddack has located his changeup inside 53% of the time (16/30) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Chris Paddack has a strike rate of just 57% (47/82) this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Dodgers are 197-30 (.868) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Dodgers are 49-17 (.742) after a loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Dodgers are 22-8 (.733) after a home loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .509.
The Dodgers are 97-10 (.907) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Twins are just 14-28 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Twins were 16-50 (.242) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Twins were 71-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Twins are 73-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .792 (9,396 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Dodgers have scored 1.62 runs per game (547/338) in late innings since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.32.
The Dodgers have scored 547 runs in late innings since the 2022 season — most in MLB.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 21 double plays in 389 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .130 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .223.
The Twins are batting just .142 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Twins are hitless in 14 AB’s against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Twins are batting just .148 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 496 of 6,543 batters (8%) since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 106 of 1,535 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Twins vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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