Giants vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Feb 28

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(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2024, 11:32 AM

The San Francisco Giants (+105) visit HoHoKam Stadium to take on the Oakland Athletics (-125) on Wednesday, February 28, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Mesa, AZ.

This season, the Giants are 0-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 2-1 ATS.

Giants vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Giants+105
Athletics -125

Giants vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Wade Meckler has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+4.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.35 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.85 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Jordan Diaz has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.68 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+15.73 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games at home (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 60% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Giants are 1-3 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -43.48% ROI).

  • 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -56.25% ROI
  • 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 48.78% ROI
  • 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.5 Units / -53.19% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Athletics are 2-1 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 21.59% ROI).

  • 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 34.43% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 25% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -35.94% ROI

Spencer Howard has limited playing time.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Medina allowed an OPS of 1.139 (86 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .770 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 12% (23/191) against Luis Medina on elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.

Luis Medina had a strikeout rate of 48% (65/135) on low non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 96th Percentile.

Luis Medina had a strikeout rate of just 10% (9/95) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Giants are 130-3 (.977) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Giants are just 24-44 (.353) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Giants are 31-32 (.492) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.

The Giants were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Athletics are just 4-8 (.333) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.

The Athletics are just 87-61 (.588) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Athletics were just 29-79 (.269) after a loss in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Athletics are just 67-143 (.319) after a loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.

Giants hitters had an OPS of just .475 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.

Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.

Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.

The Athletics batted just .223 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Athletics won only 32% of their home games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers walked 87 of 1,439 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants pitchers walked 403 of 6,039 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Giants pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 130 double plays in 1,059 opportunities (12%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

The Athletics allowed 5.95 runs per game (482/81) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.60.

Athletics vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, Out
  • James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
  • Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
  • Zach Jackson (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
  • Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, Out
  • Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, Out
  • Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Side, Day-To-Day
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, Out
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Marco Luciano (San Francisco Giants): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, Out
  • Mark Mathias (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
  • Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, Out
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.