- The Braves are -210 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants vs Braves Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Giants / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | NSBA
The San Francisco Giants (+170) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-210) on Wednesday, July 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Giants are 42-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 38-45 ATS.
Giants vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Jordan Hicks 4-4, 3.36 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 10-3, 2.80 ERA
Giants vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -120 | O 7.5 -105 | +170 |
| Braves | -1.5 +100 | U 7.5 -115 | -210 |
Giants vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 34 games (+33.00 Units / 97% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+10.55 Units / 75% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 37 games (+18.20 Units / 49% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+15.25 Units / 49% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+14.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 46 games (+9.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 54 games (+5.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 46 games (+4.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.35 Units / 42% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 69 games (+26.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games (+11.39 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+2.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 11 games at home (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 42-44 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -5.06% ROI).
- 42-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -6.14% ROI
- 48-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.8 Units / 10.43% ROI
- 35-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.15 Units / -19.07% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 38-45 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -7.53% ROI).
- 46-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.5 Units / -9.45% ROI
- 29-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.3 Units / -27.91% ROI
- 50-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.15 Units / 19.72% ROI
Braves vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Braves vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Braves vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Braves vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 7.5 -160 | 7.5 +120 |
| Jordan Hicks (SF) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +110 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Hicks has walked 20 of 153 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Jordan Hicks has a strike rate of just 57% (419/732) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .144 (20-for-139) against Jordan Hicks’ non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — 98th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks has walked 25 of 175 left-handed batters (14%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
17 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .212 (44 Total Bases / 208 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .348 — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.1 MPH on the 163 breaking pitches put in play against him since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: 87.7.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Giants are 38-20 (.655) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Giants are 4-36 (.100) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .056.
The Giants are just 57-52 (.523) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Giants are just 24-44 (.353) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .469.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Braves are 50-23 (.685) after a home loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Braves are 17-79 (.177) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Braves are 50-54 (.481) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 170 extra-base hits out of 480 total hits (just 35%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Giants are batting just .159 with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Giants hitters have drawn 1,015 walks in 10,806 PA’s (9%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants hitters have an OBP of .342 (951 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .468 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Braves hitters are slugging .485 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Braves have barrels in 8% of PA’s in the 2023 season (514/6,249) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .378 (1,132 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 132 of 2,202 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.5 MPH (1,931 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.5 MPH this season (1,931 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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