The San Francisco Giants (+115) visit American Family Fields of Phoenix to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-135) on Thursday, March 21, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Giants are 5-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 5-9 ATS.
Giants vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Giants | +115 |
| Brewers | -135 |
Giants vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 53.5% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Marco Luciano has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Blake Sabol has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Luis Matos has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.70 Units / 73% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 100% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in their last 1 away games (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Giants are 6-10 against the Run Line (-4.04 Units / -21.06% ROI).
- 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.84 Units / -32.68% ROI
- 10-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.43 Units / 19.68% ROI
- 6-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.14 Units / -28.93% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Brewers are 5-9 against the Run Line (-6.69 Units / -35.72% ROI).
- 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.59 Units / -22.65% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.42 Units / 9.09% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -16.81% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Landen Roupp is making his MLB debut today.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Wade Miley located his fastball inside 53% of the time (242/460) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.
Wade Miley threw his cutter 51% of the time (250/491) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CUT; League Avg: 20% — 97th Percentile.
Wade Miley allowed a BABIP of .236 in the 2023 season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .295 — 96th Percentile.
Wade Miley threw his cutter 48% of the time (664/1,380) in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CUT; League Avg: 21% — 97th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Giants were 21-12 (.636) after a home loss in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Giants are just 32-59 (.352) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .455.
The Giants are just 24-44 (.353) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Giants are 31-32 (.492) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Brewers were 22-9 (.710) after a home loss in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Brewers were 23-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Brewers were 16-11 (.593) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers were 19-39 (.328) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .220.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters had an OBP of just .307 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Giants hitters struck out 453 times in 1,790 PA’s (25%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .475 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters slugged just .378 against RHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Brewers hitters slugged just .366 on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Brewers hitters had an OPS of just .676 (3,102 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers walked 403 of 6,039 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants pitchers walked 87 of 1,439 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers had an ERA of 3.52 (738.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.73 (1443.0 IP) in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.82 (703.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 1,519 times in the 2023 season — 2nd fewest in MLB.
Brewers vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Aaron Ashby (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Out
- Elvis Peguero (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, Out
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, Out
- Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Side, Day-To-Day
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, Out
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marco Luciano (San Francisco Giants): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, Out
- Mark Mathias (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
- Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, Out
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
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