- The Giants are -185 favorites vs the Nationals
- Giants vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Giants / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | NSBA
The San Francisco Giants (-165) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+140) on Monday, August 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Giants are 56-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 64-48 ATS.
Giants vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 8-8, 3.50 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 2-11, 5.91 ERA
Giants vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 -110 | O 9 -115 | -165 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -110 | U 9 -105 | +140 |
Giants vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Monday‘s MLB game with 62.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 16 games (+45.50 Units / 284% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 42 games (+17.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+13.20 Units / 49% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+11.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.10 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games at home (+17.00 Units / 142% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+16.35 Units / 54% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 24 games (+9.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+9.40 Units / 33% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 57 away games (+9.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+7.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 48 away games (+7.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 81 games (+5.55 Units / 6% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 104 games (+12.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 104 games (+8.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 70 games (+7.20 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 57% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 54-59 against the Run Line (-10.25 Units / -6.94% ROI).
- 56-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.85 Units / -4.89% ROI
- 59-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.25 Units / 2.63% ROI
- 51-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.3 Units / -11.44% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 64-48 against the Run Line (+8.48 Units / 5.74% ROI).
- 51-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 4.82% ROI
- 55-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -1.51% ROI
- 52-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.42 Units / -7.58% ROI
Nationals vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jerar Encarnacion (SF) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Nationals vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Patrick Bailey (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Trey Lipscomb (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Alex Call (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jerar Encarnacion (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Nationals vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Jerar Encarnacion (SF) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Patrick Bailey (SF) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Nationals vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb (SF) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Patrick Corbin (WAS) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (252/438) against Logan Webb this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 29% (111/382) against Logan Webb on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (91/499) against Logan Webb this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (122/207) against Logan Webb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .314 (219-for-698) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .309 (137-for-443) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .296 (198-for-669) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .248 (54-for-218) against Patrick Corbin with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — first Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Giants are 43-21 (.672) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Giants are just 32-36 (.471) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
The Giants are just 23-34 (.404) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Giants are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Nationals are 9-2 (.818) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Nationals are just 54-213 (.202) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Nationals are just 85-130 (.395) at home since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 1,227 strikeouts in 4,970 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters have drawn 1,074 walks in 11,502 PA’s (9%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants hitters have 748 strikeouts in 3,038 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants have won just 50% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters are slugging just .382 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Nationals have scored first in just 39% of their road games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Nationals are just 5-17 (.227) against the run line (-41.4% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .442.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .351 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 237 of 3,875 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jake Alu (Washington Nationals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Joey Gallo (Washington Nationals): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Josiah Gray (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Williams (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- TJ Hopkins (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tom Murphy (San Francisco Giants): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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