- The Padres are -225 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants vs Padres Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Giants / Padres TV Channel: ATV+
The San Francisco Giants (+180) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-225) on Friday, September 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Giants are 69-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 71-71 ATS.
Giants vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Mason Black 0-2, 7.86 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 11-8, 3.19 ERA
Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -115 | O 8 -120 | +180 |
| Padres | -1.5 -105 | U 8 +100 | -225 |
Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB game with 64.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 44 games (+36.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 50 games (+20.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+19.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 44 games (+13.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 33 games (+32.80 Units / 99% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+15.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 41 games (+15.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 41 games (+12.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games at home (+9.40 Units / 125% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 69 away games (+10.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+7.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 60 of their last 109 games (+4.95 Units / 4% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 28 away games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 54 games (+3.45 Units / 4% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 65 games (+15.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 64 games (+12.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games (+7.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 110 games (+5.25 Units / 4% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 39% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 68-73 against the Run Line (-11.1 Units / -6.07% ROI).
- 69-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.25 Units / -7.78% ROI
- 71-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 0.58% ROI
- 64-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.15 Units / -9.1% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 71-71 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 1.22% ROI).
- 80-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 2.07% ROI
- 77-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.15 Units / 5.25% ROI
- 63-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.5 Units / -14.29% ROI
Padres vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Padres vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Padres vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Padres vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mason Black (SF) | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -145 |
| Michael King (SD) | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -155 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mason Black has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to May 6th — Bobby Miller has the longest active streak at 10.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.3 MPH this season (378 balls in play) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Hitters have swung at 59% of Michael King’s pitches in the zone (1,213/2,055) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 68% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .199 (43-for-216) against Michael King when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 89th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 34% (72/209) against Michael King when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are 30-194 (.134) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Giants are 10-58 (.147) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Giants are 10-133 (.070) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Giants are just 63-87 (.420) on the road since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres are 56-4 (.933) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Padres are 19-42 (.311) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Padres are 46-32 (.590) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Padres are 58-7 (.892) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 13 strikeouts in 31 PA’s (42%) against LHP over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters have 1,301 strikeouts in 5,233 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters have 822 strikeouts in 3,301 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting .260 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 10 strikeouts in 119 PA’s (8%) against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have just 250 strikeouts in 1,490 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have just 926 strikeouts in 5,359 PA’s (17%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have just 676 strikeouts in 3,869 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 170 of 2,688 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers have walked 10 of 54 batters (18%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.1 MPH since last season (7,399 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Padres pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 39% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Padres vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Diego Padres – No Injuries Reported
- San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported
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