Giants vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 13

min read
Tampa Bay Rays' Yandy Diaz reacts after his solo home run off Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Hyun Jin Ryu during the first inning of a baseball game Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023, in St. Petersburg, Fla.
(AP Photo/Chris O'Meara)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 13, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Giants are -110 favorites vs the Rays
  • Giants vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Giants / Rays TV Channel: NSBA | BSUN

The San Francisco Giants (-110) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-110) on Saturday, April 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Giants are 5-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 7-7 ATS.

Giants vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 0-1, 4.86 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 1-1, 4.63 ERA

Giants vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +155O 7.5 -105-110
Rays +1.5 -190U 7.5 -125-110

Giants vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+15.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Austin Slater has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.75 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+14.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Austin Slater has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Austin Slater has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+10.45 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Curtis Mead has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+11.15 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Ben Rortvedt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+11.15 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Amed Rosario has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+10.55 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.93 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+17.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.19 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.26 Units / 16% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 5-9 against the Run Line (-6.7 Units / -35.36% ROI).

  • 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -34.05% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 10.93% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -18.73% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 7-7 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 10.03% ROI).

  • 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.27% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -5.84% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -5.84% ROI

Rays vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800
Michael Conforto (SF) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Rays vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jung-hoo Lee (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Richard Palacios (TB) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Thairo Estrada (SF) 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Rays vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Harold Ramirez (TB) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Amed Rosario (TB) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Rays vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Logan Webb (SF) 4.5 -165 4.5 +125
Ryan Pepiot (TB) 6.5 +120 6.5 -155
Logan Webb (SF) 5.5 +125 5.5 -165

Opponents had a groundball rate of 63% (389/619) against Logan Webb in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .312 (10-for-32) against Logan Webb with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — second Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (1,427/3,460) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 34% of the time (25/73) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters hit just .111 (8-for-72) against Ryan Pepiot in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in NL; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.

Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .147 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — best among in NL; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.

Ryan Pepiot allowed a BABIP of .089 vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — best among in NL; League Avg: .285 — 100th Percentile.

Ryan Pepiot allowed an OPS of just .383 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in NL; League Avg: .689 — 98th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Giants are 70-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Giants were 66-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Giants are 32-35 (.478) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Giants were 22-13 (.629) after a home loss in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .508.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Rays are just 12-27 (.308) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Rays were 16-6 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays were just 4-12 (.250) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.

The Rays were 7-54 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.

Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.

The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.

The Giants are batting .291 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

31% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays are batting .262 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Rays hitters put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .500 against Giants pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .241.

The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
  • Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
  • Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.