- The Reds are -135 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Giants / Reds TV Channel: FOX
The San Francisco Giants (+115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-135) on Saturday, August 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Giants are 55-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 60-49 ATS.
Giants vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 6-4, 3.70 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 7-4, 2.97 ERA
Giants vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -190 | O 9 -115 | +115 |
| Reds | -1.5 +155 | U 9 -105 | -135 |
Giants vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 14 games (+42.20 Units / 301% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+15.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 24 away games (+13.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.20 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 23 games (+17.60 Units / 77% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+13.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+9.60 Units / 66% ROI)
- Hunter Greene has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.30 Units / 38% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games (+8.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 79 games (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 away games (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 93 games (+14.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+12.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 91 games (+8.85 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games at home (+8.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 games (+4.30 Units / 6% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 53-58 against the Run Line (-10 Units / -6.9% ROI).
- 55-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.85 Units / -4.96% ROI
- 57-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 1.03% ROI
- 51-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -12 Units / -9.78% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 60-49 against the Run Line (+5 Units / 3.45% ROI).
- 52-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.95 Units / -5.32% ROI
- 47-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.6 Units / -13.77% ROI
- 57-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +5 Units / 4.19% ROI
Reds vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Reds vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Ty France (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Reds vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Reds vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene (CIN) | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -110 |
| Kyle Harrison (SF) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Harrison has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 12.0 innings pitched — Carlos Estevez has the longest active streak at 24.2.
Kyle Harrison has an average spin rate of 1998.3 RPM on curveballs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 2530.5 — fifth Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has not allowed a home run in any of the last 19.0 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 67.1.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 24% (197/829) against Kyle Harrison since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 30% — second Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of just .178 (8 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .399 — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has walked 17 of 128 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .111 (5-for-45) against Hunter Greene on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .272 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .441 (64-for-145) against Hunter Greene on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total IP; League Avg: .342 — first Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Giants are 21-8 (.724) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Giants are just 27-47 (.365) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Giants are just 22-33 (.400) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Giants are just 32-36 (.471) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Reds are just 28-34 (.452) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Reds are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 3-40 (.070) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Reds are just 3-12 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 745 strikeouts in 3,029 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting .264 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Giants hitters have an OBP of .334 (1,239 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Giants are batting just .247 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .107 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Reds hitters are slugging just .141 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Reds has 1,645 quality ABs out of 3,996 total (41% QAB rate) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Reds hitters have 108 extra-base hits out of 268 total hits (40%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 351 of 3,832 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Graham Ashcraft (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Nick Martini (Cincinnati Reds): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Carson Spiers (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Tejay Antone (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Luke Maile (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 10-Day IL
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Day-To-Day
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Brent Suter (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Emilio Pagan (Cincinnati Reds): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- TJ Hopkins (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tom Murphy (San Francisco Giants): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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