- The Giants are -125 favorites vs the Reds
- Giants vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Giants / Reds TV Channel: Roku
The San Francisco Giants (-115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-105) on Sunday, August 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Giants are 55-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 61-49 ATS.
Giants vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Robbie Ray 1-1, 4.83 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Carson Spiers 4-2, 3.46 ERA
Giants vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +145 | O 9 -110 | -115 |
| Reds | +1.5 -175 | U 9 -110 | -105 |
Giants vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 15 games (+41.20 Units / 275% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+16.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+11.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.35 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 24 games (+16.60 Units / 69% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 31 games (+9.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+8.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 47 away games (+8.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 56 away games (+8.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+7.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 80 games (+6.55 Units / 7% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 94 games (+13.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 43 games at home (+11.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 92 games (+10.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+6.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 60 games (+5.30 Units / 7% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 53-59 against the Run Line (-11.75 Units / -8.01% ROI).
- 55-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -5.65% ROI
- 58-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.25 Units / 1.84% ROI
- 51-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.2 Units / -10.65% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 61-49 against the Run Line (+6.5 Units / 4.46% ROI).
- 53-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.95 Units / -4.51% ROI
- 48-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.6 Units / -12.83% ROI
- 57-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.8 Units / 3.15% ROI
Reds vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jerar Encarnacion (SF) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Reds vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Bailey (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Reds vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ty France (CIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Patrick Bailey (SF) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Reds vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray (SF) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| Carson Spiers (CIN) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Robbie Ray has a strikeout rate of 26% (53 SO in 202 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 173 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% (127/423) against Robbie Ray when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 173 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 93rd Percentile.
57% of Robbie Ray’s non-fastball strikeouts are located inside since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 173 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (252/657) against Robbie Ray on breaking pitches since the 2022 season — tied for 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 173 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 88th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carson Spiers has walked 11 of 218 batters (5%) this season — tied for 15th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 91st Percentile.
Carson Spiers has allowed three-ball counts to 12% of batters they faced (27/218 PA’s) this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 97th Percentile.
70% of Carson Spiers’ called strikeouts are outside this season — tied for 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 92nd Percentile.
75% of Carson Spiers’ non-fastball strikeouts are located away this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 52% — 95th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Giants are 43-21 (.672) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Giants are 176-6 (.967) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Giants are 56-8 (.875) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Giants are just 27-47 (.365) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Reds are just 29-34 (.460) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Reds are just 3-40 (.070) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Reds are just 3-12 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are 32-16 (.667) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .572.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting .264 against LHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Giants hitters have 747 strikeouts in 3,034 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters have an OBP of .335 (1,244 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Giants have answered-back in 38% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .107 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Reds hitters are slugging just .141 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .297 (2,741 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Reds hitters are slugging just .170 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 237 of 3,866 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 221 of 2,414 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Graham Ashcraft (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Nick Martini (Cincinnati Reds): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Carson Spiers (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Tejay Antone (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Luke Maile (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 10-Day IL
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Day-To-Day
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Brent Suter (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Emilio Pagan (Cincinnati Reds): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- TJ Hopkins (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tom Murphy (San Francisco Giants): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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