- The Guardians are -160 favorites vs the Athletics
- Guardians / Athletics TV Channel: BSGL | NSCA
The Cleveland Guardians (-155) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+130) on Thursday, March 28, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 10:07pm EDT in Oakland, CA.
Guardians vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +110 | O 7.5 -115 | -155 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -135 | U 7.5 -105 | +130 |
Guardians vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s game with 60.1% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brayan Rocchio has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.10 Units / 210% ROI)
- David Fry has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in his last away game (+1.95 Units / 195% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- JJ Bleday has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Aledmys Diaz has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.95 Units / 195% ROI)
- Aledmys Diaz has hit the RBIs Under in his last game at home (+1.00 Units / 34% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 39 away games (+2.24 Units / 5% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+15.73 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games at home (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Bieber located his fastball away 64% of the time (436/686) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Shane Bieber located 71% of his pitches away (688/967) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Shane Bieber located 59% of his pitches away (1,159/1,954) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 99th Percentile.
Shane Bieber located 60% of his pitches away (226/375) when ahead in the count in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Wood allowed an OBP of .312 (234 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 17% (53/310) against Alex Wood in the 2023 season — tied for lowest among in NL; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 17% (53/310) against Alex Wood in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — third Percentile.
Alex Wood had a strikeout rate of just 32% (74/234) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Guardians are 34-114 (.230) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians were 18-57 (.240) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Athletics were just 29-82 (.261) after a loss in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Athletics are just 4-8 (.333) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Athletics were just 26-55 (.321) at home in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Athletics are just 87-61 (.588) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters struck out just 791 times in 4,186 PA’s (19%) against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters had 305 extra-base hits out of 974 total hits (just 31%) against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Athletics won only 32% of their home games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Athletics won just 46% of games in which they have scored first at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers won only 19% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed the 28th hardest ball in play hit (119.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 1,682 times in the 2023 season — 5th most in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 100 times since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd fewest in MLB.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 39% of the time after scoring a run on offense since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers had allowed a run 42% of the time after scoring a run on offense in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Athletics vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, Out
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Zach Jackson (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, Out
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gabriel Arias (Cleveland Guardians): Wrist, Out
- Logan Allen (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
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