- The Guardians are -135 favorites vs the Athletics
- Guardians / Athletics TV Channel: BSGL | NSCA
The Cleveland Guardians () visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics () on Saturday, March 30, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland, CA.
This season, the Guardians are 2-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 0-2 ATS.
Guardians vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Guardians | O | ||
Athletics | U |
Guardians vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s game with 59.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- Estevan Florial has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 13 away games (+9.35 Units / 72% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+8.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.90 Units / 33% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 39 away games (+2.24 Units / 5% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+15.73 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games at home (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 2-0 against the Run Line (+2.55 Units / 127.5% ROI).
- 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 72.73% ROI
- 2-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 97.56% ROI
- 0-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -100% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 0-2 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
- 2-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 97.56% ROI
- 0-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -100% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Bibee allowed a slugging percentage of just .270 (66 Total Bases / 244 ABs) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .426 — 99th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee allowed an OPS of just .542 (270 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .746 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (25/103) against Tanner Bibee on sliders in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 98th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has an average spin rate of 2790.6 RPM on sliders since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2397.6 — 99th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 30% (153/505) against JP Sears in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 23% (38/164) against JP Sears on sliders in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (30/94) against JP Sears on low breaking pitches since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 0 Percentile.
JP Sears allowed a slugging percentage of .465 (308 Total Bases / 662 ABs) in the 2023 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .396 — 11th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 34-114 (.230) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Guardians were just 12-24 (.333) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Athletics are just 4-8 (.333) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Athletics are just 87-62 (.584) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Athletics were just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Athletics were just 29-82 (.261) after a loss in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,586 strikeouts in 8,772 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have just 2,269 strikeouts in 12,285 PA’s (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .289 (11,852 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Athletics are batting just .219 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .288 (8,669 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians pitchers won only 19% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed the 28th hardest ball in play hit (119.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .241 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 39% of the time after scoring a run on offense since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, Out
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Zach Jackson (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, Out
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gabriel Arias (Cleveland Guardians): Wrist, Out
- Logan Allen (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
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