- The Blue Jays are -140 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Guardians / Blue Jays TV Channel: BSGL | RSN | MLBN
The Cleveland Guardians (+120) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-140) on Friday, June 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Guardians are 43-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 31-37 ATS.
Guardians vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 0-1, 5.47 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 5-4, 4.03 ERA
Guardians vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -175 | O 8 -105 | +120 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +145 | U 8 -115 | -140 |
Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 44 games (+35.10 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+16.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 away games (+9.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+9.35 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 49 games (+16.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 46 games (+16.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 23 games at home (+14.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+12.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Kevin Kiermaier has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 66 games (+15.77 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 41 of their last 66 games (+13.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 66 games (+12.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 52 games (+11.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 66 games (+8.30 Units / 11% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 67 games (+10.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 63 games (+8.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 54 games (+4.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.85 Units / 39% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 37-29 against the Run Line (+12.6 Units / 16.01% ROI).
- 43-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.77 Units / 18.2% ROI
- 31-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -2.8% ROI
- 30-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -5.27% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 31-37 against the Run Line (-12.1 Units / -13.5% ROI).
- 33-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -9.28% ROI
- 29-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.8 Units / -15.83% ROI
- 37-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.75 Units / 6.33% ROI
Blue Jays vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Logan Allen (CLE) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -115 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .657 (65 Total Bases / 99 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: .385 — 0 Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .744 (99 Total Bases / 133 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: .536 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (20/34) against Logan Allen on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed an OPS of 1.024 (109 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: .680 — 0 Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has allowed a slugging percentage of .735 (25 Total Bases / 34 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .343 — first Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 75% (456/605) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has walked 2 of 108 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 97th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has an ERA of 6.68 (31.0 IP) at home this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.35 — first Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Guardians are 8-8 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Guardians are 37-132 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Guardians are 30-27 (.526) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Guardians are 38-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .939.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Blue Jays are 26-18 (.591) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Blue Jays are 20-12 (.625) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Blue Jays are just 8-32 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Blue Jays are just 12-78 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,903 strikeouts in 10,477 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Guardians have an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .368 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .177 against the shift this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .202 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .417 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Blue Jays hitters have just 873 strikeouts in 4,717 PA’s (18%) in righty-righty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .189 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
The Guardians have allowed 0.71 runs per game (47/66) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 239 of 3,502 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Blue Jays have won just just 4% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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