- The Blue Jays are -125 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Guardians / Blue Jays TV Channel: BSGL | RSN
The Cleveland Guardians (+100) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-120) on Saturday, June 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Guardians are 44-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 31-38 ATS.
Guardians vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 2-5, 5.50 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Guardians vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +155 | O 9 -120 | +100 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -190 | U 9 +100 | -120 |
Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 45 games (+34.10 Units / 76% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 28 of his last 50 games (+14.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 24 away games (+10.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+10.45 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 50 games (+17.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 47 games (+17.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 24 games at home (+15.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+13.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.35 Units / 31% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 67 games (+17.02 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 42 of their last 67 games (+14.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games (+13.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 53 games (+12.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 38 away games (+8.90 Units / 20% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 68 games (+11.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 64 games (+9.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games (+3.60 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.10 Units / 18% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 38-29 against the Run Line (+13.6 Units / 16.93% ROI).
- 44-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.02 Units / 19.42% ROI
- 31-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -4.3% ROI
- 31-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.8 Units / -3.83% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 31-38 against the Run Line (-13.1 Units / -14.45% ROI).
- 33-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.9 Units / -10.7% ROI
- 29-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.95 Units / -17.11% ROI
- 38-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 7.56% ROI
Blue Jays vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Richards (TOR) | 1.5 -165 | 1.5 +130 |
| Carlos Carrasco (CLE) | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -135 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .565 (213 Total Bases / 377 ABs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: .401 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .731 (117 Total Bases / 160 ABs) on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .429 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .388 (62-for-160) against Carlos Carrasco’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .457 (91-for-199) against Carlos Carrasco when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .335 — 0 Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (13/76) against Bowden Francis on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 6th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 29% — sixth Percentile.
Bowden Francis has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 73% (129/176) of opposing batters since last season — tied for 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.
Bowden Francis has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (291/894) since last season — 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 20% — 85th Percentile.
57% of Bowden Francis’ fastball strikeouts are located away since last season — 14th highest among among 125 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 89th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Guardians are 8-8 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Guardians are 12-8 (.600) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Guardians are 37-132 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Guardians are just 10-19 (.345) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Blue Jays are 26-18 (.591) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Blue Jays are 20-12 (.625) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Blue Jays are 33-23 (.589) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Blue Jays are just 12-78 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,909 strikeouts in 10,502 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .367 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .199 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Blue Jays are batting just .241 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .177 against the shift this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Blue Jays hitters have just 377 strikeouts in 2,016 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .187 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
The Guardians have allowed 0.70 runs per game (47/67) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Guardians pitchers have won 48% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 25% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The average home run distance against the Blue Jays pitchers this season is 391.1 feet — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 396.3
Blue Jays vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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