- The Guardians are -175 favorites vs the White Sox
- Guardians vs White Sox Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Guardians / White Sox TV Channel: BSGL | NSCH
The Cleveland Guardians (-165) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+140) on Thursday, May 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Guardians are 24-13 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 17-20 ATS.
Guardians vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Ben Lively 1-1, 2.08 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 2-0, 3.46 ERA
Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +100 | O 8 -115 | -165 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -120 | U 8 -105 | +140 |
Guardians vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 61.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 26 games (+21.50 Units / 83% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.95 Units / 68% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+12.65 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 36 games (+12.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.85 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+14.00 Units / 280% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+8.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+6.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 72% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 69 of their last 127 games (+9.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 44 away games (+5.36 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 44 away games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 23-14 against the Run Line (+10.25 Units / 22.07% ROI).
- 24-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.12 Units / 20.81% ROI
- 20-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.6 Units / 8.87% ROI
- 15-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -17.4% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 17-20 against the Run Line (-6.3 Units / -14.38% ROI).
- 9-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.5 Units / -40.28% ROI
- 17-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -7.51% ROI
- 18-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -1.4% ROI
White Sox vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Gavin Sheets (CWS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
White Sox vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Tommy Pham (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nicky Lopez (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
White Sox vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Gavin Sheets (CWS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Lively (CLE) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
| Erick Fedde (CWS) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ben Lively has allowed a slugging percentage of just .111 (2 Total Bases / 18 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .358 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (92/330) against Ben Lively since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 21% (34/161) against Ben Lively this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 28% — fifth Percentile.
35% of Ben Lively’s strikeouts are looking since last season — tied for 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 94th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 47% (108/228) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strikeout rate of just 20% (9 SO in 46 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for 4th lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 34% — 11th Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 59% (113/191) in two strike counts this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — sixth Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 60% (401/668) this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians are just 9-17 (.346) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 36-124 (.225) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Guardians are 25-131 (.160) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Guardians are 12-142 (.078) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox are just 9-24 (.273) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The White Sox are just 22-47 (.319) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.
The White Sox are just 50-19 (.725) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox are just 6-13 (.316) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The Guardians are batting just .230 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .329.
Guardians hitters have put 44% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .246 (240 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (7,307 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .289 (3,548 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .287 (5,682 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians pitchers have not walked any of the 63 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 58% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
White Sox pitchers have a strike rate of just 62% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 148 of 1,412 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 14 of 115 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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