- The Mariners are +100 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Mariners vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / Blue Jays TV Channel: RTNW | RSN | MLBN
The Seattle Mariners (+100) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-120) on Monday, April 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Mariners are 4-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 5-5 ATS.
Mariners vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 0-2, 6.55 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 1-0, 2.38 ERA
Mariners vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +160 | O 8 +100 | +100 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -210 | U 8 -120 | -120 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- George Kirby has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+9.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Mitch Garver has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 23 away games (+6.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+6.70 Units / 79% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- George Springer has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+8.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 18 games at home (+8.20 Units / 46% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.89 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.69 Units / 19% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games at home (+12.34 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 3-7 against the Run Line (-4.65 Units / -35.5% ROI).
- 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -26.83% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 6.91% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.6 Units / -14.29% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 5-5 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -16.98% ROI).
- 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -11.71% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 14.48% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -24.09% ROI
Blue Jays vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Varsho | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Springer | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Biggio | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Kiermaier | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Kirk | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -2000 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Berrios | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -155 |
| Castillo | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has allowed an OPS of 1.288 (34 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among in AL; League Avg: .671 — fourth Percentile.
Luis Castillo has thrown fastballs 78% of the time (39/50) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .286 (8-for-28) against Luis Castillo with two-strikes this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — fifth Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed an OPS of 1.288 (34 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .711 — fifth Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has allowed an OPS of .967 (24 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .488 — second Percentile.
Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 31% of the time (15/48) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 96th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed an OPS of .967 (24 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among in AL; League Avg: .461 — third Percentile.
Jose Berrios attempted to pick off a runner at second base 17 timesin the 2023 season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Mariners are 44-6 (.880) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Mariners are 10-132 (.070) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Mariners are 142-6 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Mariners were 13-9 (.591) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .430.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Blue Jays are 162-38 (.806) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Blue Jays are 71-110 (.390) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Blue Jays were just 9-54 (.143) when they allowed 5 or more runs in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Blue Jays were 34-55 (.382) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .150 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .220.
Mariners hitters struck out 422 times in 1,624 PA’s (26%) against LHP in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mariners batted just .125 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Mariners hitters have put 61% of their swings in play in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .335 (2,730 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Blue Jays hitters have put 44% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 449 of 6,388 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 198 of 2,994 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 421 of 6,006 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a swing rate of 50% against the Mariners pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 207 of 2,986 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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