- The Mariners are +100 favorites vs the Brewers
- Mariners vs Brewers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Mariners / Brewers TV Channel: RTNW | BSWI
The Seattle Mariners (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-125) on Sunday, April 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Mariners are 4-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 4-3 ATS.
Mariners vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Emerson Hancock 1-0, 5.07 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 1-0, 1.80 ERA
Mariners vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -190 | O 9 -115 | +105 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +155 | U 9 -105 | -125 |
Mariners vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Mariners vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- George Kirby has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+9.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+7.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 17 away games (+7.00 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+7.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.35 Units / 62% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+6.70 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.40 Units / 68% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.10 Units / 85% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.89 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.69 Units / 19% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 3-6 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -26.2% ROI).
- 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -20.35% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -2.55% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -4.48% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 4-3 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 2.69% ROI).
- 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 38.22% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -16.23% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 10.26% ROI
Brewers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bauers | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Yelich | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Dunn | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Chourio | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Frelick | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 -3000 |
Brewers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hancock | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
| Rea | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Emerson Hancock has a strikeout rate of just 4% (1 SO in 23 PAs) this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (5/19) against Emerson Hancock this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.
Emerson Hancock has struck out just 6% (1/18) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 23% — seventh Percentile.
Emerson Hancock has allowed an OPS of just .410 (18 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .703 — 87th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colin Rea has allowed an OPS of just .460 (85 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .773 — 100th Percentile.
Colin Rea allowed an OPS of just .458 (81 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .770 — 100th Percentile.
Colin Rea has not allowed a hit to any of the last 26 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Lucas Erceg has the longest active streak at 43.
Colin Rea allowed an OPS of .994 (100 PA’s) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .742 — fourth Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Mariners are 142-6 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Mariners are 25-18 (.581) after a road win since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Mariners are 13-9 (.565) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Mariners are 31-31 (.492) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Brewers were 24-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Brewers are 24-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Brewers were 23-10 (.697) after a home loss in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Brewers are 21-11 (.656) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Mariners are batting just .228 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .169 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have chased 27% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Brewers hitters have chased 21% of pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Brewers hitters are slugging .857 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 421 of 6,006 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a swing rate of 50% against the Mariners pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Mariners pitchers walked 97 of 1,455 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Brewers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.73 (1443.0 IP) in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
Bet now on Mariners vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
