Mariners vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 21

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 21, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Dodgers are -185 favorites vs the Mariners
  • Mariners vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Mariners / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | RTNW | MLBN

The Seattle Mariners (+150) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-185) on Wednesday, August 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Mariners are 64-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 61-66 ATS.

Mariners vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 7-9, 2.97 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 9-5, 3.09 ERA

Mariners vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners+1.5 -155O 7.5 -110+150
Dodgers -1.5 +125U 7.5 -110-185

Mariners vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 games (+18.90 Units / 111% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+14.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+13.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Logan Gilbert has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+13.05 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Logan Gilbert has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gavin Lux has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 30 games (+33.60 Units / 112% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+16.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 42 games (+15.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+15.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+14.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 48 away games (+13.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 53 of their last 94 games (+7.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 away games (+6.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 36 away games (+5.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 60 games at home (+7.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+7.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games at home (+7.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+6.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.45 Units / 29% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 54-73 against the Run Line (-24.9 Units / -15.49% ROI).

  • 64-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.35 Units / -8.62% ROI
  • 54-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.9 Units / -14.42% ROI
  • 68-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.55 Units / 6.13% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 61-66 against the Run Line (-10.05 Units / -6.6% ROI).

  • 75-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -4.47% ROI
  • 65-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 0.18% ROI
  • 59-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.45 Units / -8.88% ROI

Dodgers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +240 0.5 -300
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Jorge Polanco (SEA) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Dodgers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Gavin Lux (LAD) 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Dodgers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Dodgers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Logan Gilbert (SEA) 5.5 -135 5.5 +100

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .224 (335 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 98th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .250 (507 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has induced opposing hitters to ground into 15 double plays in 70 opportunities (21%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .191 (225 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jack Flaherty has thrown breaking pitches 56% of the time (76/135) vs left-handed batters this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of just .261 (487 PAs) this season — tied for seventh best among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP– 96th Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .370 (649 PAs) last season — tied for 10th worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– sixth Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has a strikeout rate of 32% (157 SO in 487 PAs) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has a strikeout rate of 40% (32 SO in 80 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Mariners are just 5-20 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .354.

The Mariners are 58-7 (.892) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Mariners are 8-47 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Mariners are 199-4 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Dodgers are 54-30 (.643) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.

The Dodgers are 251-46 (.845) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Dodgers are 28-15 (.651) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.

The Dodgers are 56-28 (.667) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.

The Mariners are batting just .209 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Mariners are batting just .196 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Mariners are batting just .224 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

team hitters – home

The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 22% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.70 (574.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.

Mariners pitchers have walked 60 of 1,127 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 716 of 10,561 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,247 of 16,599 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers pitchers have 226 three-pitch strikeouts this season — most in MLB.

Dodgers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Tyler Glasnow (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Miguel Rojas (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, Day-To-Day
  • Ryan Brasier (Los Angeles Dodgers): Calf, 60-Day IL
  • Connor Brogdon (Los Angeles Dodgers): Foot, 60-Day IL
  • Mookie Betts (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hand, 10-Day IL
  • Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Max Muncy (Los Angeles Dodgers): Oblique, 60-Day IL
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Neck, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Michael Grove (Los Angeles Dodgers): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • J.P. Crawford (Seattle Mariners): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Dominic Canzone (Seattle Mariners): Thigh, 10-Day IL
  • Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Achilles, 60-Day IL
  • Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Julio Rodriguez (Seattle Mariners): Ankle, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.