- The Pirates are -130 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners vs Pirates Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
- Mariners / Pirates TV Channel: ATV+
The Seattle Mariners (+110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-130) on Friday, August 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Mariners are 63-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 66-54 ATS.
Mariners vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 7-8, 2.92 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 6-2, 2.25 ERA
Mariners vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -210 | O 6.5 +105 | +110 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +170 | U 6.5 -125 | -130 |
Mariners vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+14.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 17 away games (+14.10 Units / 83% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Logan Gilbert has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Logan Gilbert has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.25 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 games (+21.90 Units / 183% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 49 games (+12.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.60 Units / 37% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 43 away games (+11.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 51 of their last 89 games (+8.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 away games (+6.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 31 away games (+5.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.90 Units / 13% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 81 games (+13.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 58 games (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 43 games (+7.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+4.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 76 games (+2.80 Units / 3% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 53-69 against the Run Line (-19.6 Units / -12.78% ROI).
- 63-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.85 Units / -6.77% ROI
- 51-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.85 Units / -16.47% ROI
- 67-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.95 Units / 8.18% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 66-54 against the Run Line (+8.76 Units / 5.65% ROI).
- 56-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.35 Units / -6.75% ROI
- 56-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.05 Units / -7.55% ROI
- 60-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.82 Units / -0.63% ROI
Pirates vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Pirates vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Pirates vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Pirates vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
| Paul Skenes (PIT) | 8.5 +110 | 8.5 -145 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .247 (498 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .235 (587 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .446 (216 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .681 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has induced opposing hitters to ground into 15 double plays in 68 opportunities (22%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 39% (37 SO in 95 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has thrown fastballs 68% of the time (536/786) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 53% (115 SO in 216 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% (52/178) against Paul Skenes on inside fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Mariners are 198-4 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mariners are just 5-19 (.208) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .357.
The Mariners are 106-19 (.848) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
The Mariners are 104-17 (.860) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Pirates are just 31-64 (.326) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Pirates are just 157-79 (.665) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Pirates are just 46-5 (.902) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .945.
The Pirates are just 27-31 (.466) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .209 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Mariners are batting just .208 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Mariners are batting just .119 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
The Mariners are batting just .149 with two-strikes since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 433 strikeouts in 1,282 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 43 extra-base hits out of 172 total hits (just 25%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Pirates hitters have 203 strikeouts in 587 PA’s (35%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Pirates are batting just .237 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .253 (1,086 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 22% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.70 (574.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 33% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% against Pirates pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Pirates pitchers this month (12 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,549 of 17,062 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Pirates vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Bryan Reynolds (Pittsburgh Pirates): Back, Day-To-Day
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Bailey Falter (Pittsburgh Pirates): Triceps, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Borucki (Pittsburgh Pirates): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- J.P. Crawford (Seattle Mariners): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Dominic Canzone (Seattle Mariners): Thigh, 10-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Achilles, 60-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Julio Rodriguez (Seattle Mariners): Ankle, 10-Day IL
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