- The Mariners are -115 favorites vs the Rangers
- Mariners vs Rangers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Mariners / Rangers TV Channel: RTNW | BSWX
The Seattle Mariners (-115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-105) on Tuesday, April 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Mariners are 11-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 11-12 ATS.
Mariners vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 1-0, 2.36 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning 2-1, 3.97 ERA
Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +140 | O 9 -115 | -115 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -165 | U 9 -105 | -105 |
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.90 Units / 74% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 60% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+3.55 Units / 71% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 93% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.65 Units / 77% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.89 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.69 Units / 19% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 154 games (+22.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 87 of their last 159 games (+21.78 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 92 of their last 159 games (+16.53 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games at home (+16.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 10-12 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -7.33% ROI).
- 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -7.66% ROI
- 7-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -34.5% ROI
- 14-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.25 Units / 25.72% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 11-12 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -11.49% ROI).
- 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -3.95% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -3.82% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -5.24% ROI
Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Leody Taveras (TEX) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has a strikeout rate of 59% (29 SO in 49 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has struck out 41% (17/42) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .245 (322 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .210 (100 PA’s) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 95th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dane Dunning has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (49/96) this season — 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 63% — fourth Percentile.
Dane Dunning has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (49/96) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — third Percentile.
Dane Dunning has walked 5 of 36 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.
Dane Dunning has walked 13 of 96 batters (14%) this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 88-13 (.871) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Mariners are 46-6 (.885) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Mariners are 155-3 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Mariners are 80-5 (.941) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are 35-16 (.686) after a home win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Rangers are just 42-39 (.519) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .590.
The Rangers are just 2-149 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers are just 2-61 (.032) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Mariners hitters have 468 strikeouts in 1,823 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .165 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .350 (3,484 PA’s) at home since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .838 (3,484 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
The Rangers are batting .274 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,702/13,215 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners have allowed 2.18 runs per game (24/11) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 10% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 93 of 868 batters (11%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Rangers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 46% of their games at home in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Rangers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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