- The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / Yankees TV Channel: RTNW | YES | MLBN
The Seattle Mariners (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-150) on Thursday, May 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Mariners are 27-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 28-23 ATS.
Mariners vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 4-5, 3.27 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 5-1, 2.39 ERA
Mariners vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -165 | O 8 -120 | +125 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +135 | U 8 +100 | -150 |
Mariners vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.20 Units / 203% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+13.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+12.10 Units / 68% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.05 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+16.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+12.50 Units / 250% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+9.20 Units / 35% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 38 games (+5.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+3.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games (+2.30 Units / 6% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games (+12.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.99 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.35 Units / 52% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 51 games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 25-25 against the Run Line (-3.85 Units / -5.61% ROI).
- 27-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.57% ROI
- 19-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.4 Units / -21.39% ROI
- 28-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.6 Units / 12.08% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 28-23 against the Run Line (+8.3 Units / 13.5% ROI).
- 34-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 13.13% ROI
- 22-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -13.51% ROI
- 27-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 5.06% ROI
Yankees vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -250 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Yankees vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Yankees vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Yankees vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo (Sea) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
| Luis Gil (NYY) | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -155 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has struck out 34% (41/122) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has walked 9 of 52 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — fifth Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .512 (43 Total Bases / 84 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .360 — 11th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 46% (38/83) against Luis Castillo in late innings since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Gil has walked 14 of 81 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .154 (26-for-169) against Luis Gil this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 100th Percentile.
Luis Gil has a strikeout rate of 36% (29 SO in 81 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .075 (8-for-106) against Luis Gil with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mariners are 160-6 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Mariners are 49-6 (.891) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Mariners are 94-15 (.862) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Mariners are 167-3 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Yankees are 23-18 (.561) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees are 69-19 (.784) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .691.
The Yankees are 60-8 (.882) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Yankees are just 17-28 (.378) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters have 508 strikeouts in 1,820 PA’s (28%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mariners have scored first in 100% of their games against division opponents this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .791 (1,431 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Yankees are batting .397 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Yankees hitters have 28 extra-base hits out of 108 total hits (just 26%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .474 this month (20 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .240 (442 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Mariners pitchers have walked 125 of 1,790 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 993 of 13,782 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 23% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers have won 80% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .217 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.88 (456.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Yankees vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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