- The Braves are -250 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Marlins / Braves TV Channel: BSSE | BSFL
The Miami Marlins (+195) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-250) on Friday, August 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Marlins are 40-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 49-59 ATS.
Marlins vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 2-1, 3.86 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 4-5, 4.06 ERA
Marlins vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -105 | O 9 -120 | +195 |
| Braves | -1.5 -115 | U 9 +100 | -250 |
Marlins vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 66.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Marlins vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 27 games (+20.40 Units / 76% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+14.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.85 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Austin Riley has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 20 games at home (+18.10 Units / 90% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+14.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 40 games (+12.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+12.50 Units / 68% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 away games (+16.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 82 games (+12.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 52 of their last 91 games (+9.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+6.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 38 games (+5.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 94 games (+28.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.25 Units / 79% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 51-58 against the Run Line (-23.56 Units / -16.41% ROI).
- 40-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.7 Units / -15.36% ROI
- 60-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +10 Units / 8.31% ROI
- 46-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.05 Units / -15.94% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 49-59 against the Run Line (-11.7 Units / -9.13% ROI).
- 59-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.75 Units / -8.44% ROI
- 39-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.8 Units / -26.09% ROI
- 64-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.9 Units / 17.46% ROI
Braves vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Braves vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Eddie Rosario (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Orlando Arcia (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Braves vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Valente Bellozo (MIA) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +115 |
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +100 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Schwellenbach has a strike rate of 71% (624/884) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 99th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach’s has 19 strikeouts and no walks in his last two starts — tied for best in MLB K:BB ratio over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.2 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 16% (3/19) against Spencer Schwellenbach in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has a strike rate of 72% (134/187) in his last two starts — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Marlins are just 13-13 (.500) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .760.
The Marlins are just 10-15 (.400) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Marlins are just 21-9 (.700) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Marlins are just 3-16 (.158) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .459.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Braves are just 3-8 (.273) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .429.
The Braves are just 7-15 (.318) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Braves are 88-40 (.688) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Braves are 45-112 (.287) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .622 (1,273 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .297 (3,978 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .337 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .483 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Braves hitters are slugging .686 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Braves are batting .303 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Braves hitters are slugging .464 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have won only 5% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Marlins have allowed 5.45 runs per game (305/56) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.39.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (2,532 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH this season (2,532 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Braves vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jimmy Herget (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Harris (Atlanta Braves): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Fried (Atlanta Braves): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Luplow (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Austin Riley (Atlanta Braves): Personal, Paternity
- Ray Kerr (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Ronald Acuna (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Peyton Burdick (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dane Myers (Miami Marlins): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Sixto Sanchez (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Ryan Weathers (Miami Marlins): Finger, 60-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jesus Luzardo (Miami Marlins): Back, 60-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
Bet now on Marlins vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
