- The Rockies are -135 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
- Marlins / Rockies TV Channel: BSFL | ROTV
The Miami Marlins (+110) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-130) on Wednesday, August 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Marlins are 48-84 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 66-67 ATS.
Marlins vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 3-3, 5.48 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 3-6, 5.75 ERA
Marlins vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -190 | O 11 -115 | +110 |
| Rockies | -1.5 +155 | U 11 -105 | -130 |
Marlins vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Home Runs Over in 18 of his last 50 games (+41.10 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 42 games (+20.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 away games (+10.45 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+9.60 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Cave has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 29 games (+21.60 Units / 74% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 38 games (+11.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 42 games (+10.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- Michael Toglia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Michael Toglia has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+9.15 Units / 17% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 40 games (+19.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 60 of their last 105 games (+16.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 60 away games (+15.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 37 games (+9.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 away games (+7.95 Units / 47% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 47 games at home (+11.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+7.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 47 games at home (+6.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.20 Units / 24% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 61-71 against the Run Line (-29.96 Units / -17.36% ROI).
- 48-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.8 Units / -14.32% ROI
- 73-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.35 Units / 9.85% ROI
- 54-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.2 Units / -17.41% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 66-67 against the Run Line (-14.05 Units / -8.6% ROI).
- 49-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -6.9% ROI
- 66-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.3 Units / -2.96% ROI
- 64-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.55 Units / -5.88% ROI
Rockies vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Rockies vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Beck (COL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nick Fortes (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Vidal Brujan (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Rockies vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jordan Beck (COL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
Rockies vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Meyer (MIA) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
| Kyle Freeland (COL) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Meyer has allowed an OPS of 1.022 (57 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (5 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .492 — second Percentile.
Max Meyer has allowed a slugging percentage of .654 (34 Total Bases / 52 ABs) with two-strikes this month (5 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .256 — second Percentile.
Max Meyer has allowed an OPS of 1.022 (57 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .466 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .308 (16-for-52) against Max Meyer with two-strikes this month (5 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .162 — second Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .459 (17-for-37) against Kyle Freeland in late innings since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .640 (130 Total Bases / 203 ABs) on changeups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: .373 — first Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting .370 (37-for-100) against Kyle Freeland this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 93 of Kyle Freeland’s 484 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 19%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Marlins are just 5-6 (.455) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Marlins are just 17-18 (.486) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .754.
The Marlins are just 26-13 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .854.
The Marlins are just 29-17 (.630) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rockies are just 82-21 (.788) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rockies are just 92-14 (.860) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Rockies are just 41-8 (.820) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .945.
The Rockies are just 28-26 (.519) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Colorado Rockies – No Injuries Reported
- Miami Marlins – No Injuries Reported
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