- The Rockies are -125 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11.5 Runs
- Marlins / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | BSFL
The Miami Marlins (+105) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-125) on Thursday, August 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Marlins are 48-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 67-67 ATS.
Marlins vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Valente Bellozo 2-2, 3.35 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Bradley Blalock 1-0, 3.06 ERA
Marlins vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -190 | O 11.5 -120 | +105 |
| Rockies | -1.5 +155 | U 11.5 +100 | -125 |
Marlins vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Home Runs Over in 17 of his last 47 games (+38.40 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 43 games (+19.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 14 away games (+9.45 Units / 68% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+8.60 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Cave has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 30 games (+20.60 Units / 69% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.90 Units / 76% ROI)
- Michael Toglia has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+10.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+9.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 55% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 41 games (+18.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 61 away games (+16.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 60 of their last 106 games (+15.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 38 games (+8.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 away games (+6.95 Units / 39% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 48 games at home (+12.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+9.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 48 games at home (+7.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.35 Units / 14% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 61-72 against the Run Line (-31.56 Units / -18.12% ROI).
- 48-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.8 Units / -14.94% ROI
- 73-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.3 Units / 9.06% ROI
- 55-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.2 Units / -16.59% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 67-67 against the Run Line (-12.65 Units / -7.69% ROI).
- 50-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -6.09% ROI
- 66-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -3.66% ROI
- 65-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.55 Units / -5.15% ROI
Rockies vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Rockies vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Beck (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jacob Stallings (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Vidal Brujan (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Rockies vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
Rockies vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley Blalock (COL) | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +130 |
| Valente Bellozo (MIA) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (18/87) against Valente Bellozo this month (5 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 21% (11/52) against Valente Bellozo this month (5 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Valente Bellozo has struck out just 13% (9/69) of right-handed batters he faced this month (5 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (7/35) against Valente Bellozo this month (5 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bradley Blalock has walked 4 of 24 batters (17%) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd highest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (20/55) against Bradley Blalock this month (3 games) — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (9/39) against Bradley Blalock this month (3 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 41% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (14/55) against Bradley Blalock this month (3 games) — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Marlins are just 17-18 (.486) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .754.
The Marlins are just 29-17 (.630) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Marlins are just 5-6 (.455) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Marlins are just 26-13 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .854.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rockies are just 51-37 (.580) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Rockies are just 82-21 (.788) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rockies are just 77-32 (.700) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Rockies are just 28-26 (.519) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 36% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Marlins hitters have 249 extra-base hits out of 889 total hits (just 28%) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
The Marlins have won just 52% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .298 (3,205 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .638 (8,552 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Rockies have won just 48% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins have allowed 5.83 runs per game (402/69) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
Marlins pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.13 (642.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 4.75 (1179.1 IP) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Colorado Rockies – No Injuries Reported
- Miami Marlins – No Injuries Reported
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