- The Cardinals are -125 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mets / Cardinals TV Channel: SNY | BSMW
The New York Mets (+105) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-125) on Monday, May 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Mets are 16-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 18-16 ATS.
Mets vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 1-1, 3.11 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 2-2, 3.79 ERA
Mets vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -190 | O 8 -105 | +105 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +155 | U 8 -115 | -125 |
Mets vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 28 games (+10.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Tomas Nido has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 6 games (+9.00 Units / 150% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+7.65 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+13.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+12.00 Units / 171% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 92 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 16-18 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -3.02% ROI).
- 16-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -6.28% ROI
- 16-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -4.8% ROI
- 16-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -4.15% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 18-16 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 1.43% ROI).
- 15-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -14.9% ROI
- 11-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.2 Units / -32.58% ROI
- 21-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +9 Units / 24.06% ROI
Cardinals vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Cardinals vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Cardinals vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sean Manaea (NYM) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Kyle Gibson (STL) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -115 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has walked 11 of 54 batters (20%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Sean Manaea has walked 16 of 115 right-handed batters (14%) this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Sean Manaea has walked 7 of 35 batters (20%) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 9% — fifth Percentile.
Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .305 (93 Total Bases / 305 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .401 — 97th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has allowed a slugging percentage of .944 (17 Total Bases / 18 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .407 — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 56% (175/314) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strikeout rate of just 15% (52 SO in 351 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% (86/152) this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — seventh Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mets are just 3-84 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Mets are just 7-135 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Mets are 165-3 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mets are 153-16 (.905) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .868.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cardinals are just 15-27 (.357) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Cardinals are just 48-52 (.480) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Cardinals are 28-12 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 72-6 (.923) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 52 strikeouts in 292 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have just 840 strikeouts in 4,045 PA’s (21%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mets are batting .265 with two outs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .227.
Mets hitters have put 42% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .180 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .645 (926 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .692.
The Cardinals are batting just .214 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Cardinals have an average HR distance of 412.6 feet this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 395.9.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 39 of 307 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 179 of 1,719 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 155 of 1,313 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 16 of 303 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 111 of 1,734 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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