- The Cardinals are -120 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mets / Cardinals TV Channel: SNY | BSMW
The New York Mets (+105) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-125) on Tuesday, May 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Mets are 17-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 18-17 ATS.
Mets vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Jose Butto 0-2, 2.57 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 2-4, 5.74 ERA
Mets vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -105 | +105 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -115 | -125 |
Mets vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 28 games (+10.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tomas Nido has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 7 games (+8.00 Units / 114% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+14.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+13.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+12.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 33 games (+12.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 92 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 17-18 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -0.58% ROI).
- 17-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -3.13% ROI
- 16-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -7.91% ROI
- 17-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -1.25% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 18-17 against the Run Line (-0.35 Units / -0.76% ROI).
- 15-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -17.51% ROI
- 11-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.4 Units / -34.67% ROI
- 22-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +10 Units / 26.04% ROI
Cardinals vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Cardinals vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brett Baty (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Cardinals vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
| Jose Butto (NYM) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Butto has a strike rate of just 50% (56/113) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Jose Butto has a strike rate of just 53% (126/236) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Jose Butto has walked 4 of 18 batters (22%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.
Jose Butto has walked 6 of 27 batters (22%) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .292 (21-for-72) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .514 (37 Total Bases / 72 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .255 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .313 (107-for-342) against Miles Mikolas when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — fifth Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .750 (45 Total Bases / 60 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .372 — first Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mets are just 3-84 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Mets are 153-16 (.905) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .867.
The Mets are 166-3 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mets are just 7-135 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cardinals are just 15-27 (.357) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Cardinals are just 72-6 (.923) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Cardinals are 28-12 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 17-22 (.436) after a home win since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting just .239 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .818 (254 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.049.
The Mets are batting .264 with two outs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .226.
The Mets have been successful on 62% of their hit & run attempts since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .187 against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Cardinals have an average HR distance of 412.6 feet this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 396.0.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .277 (370 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Cardinals hitters have just 67 strikeouts in 370 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 39 of 316 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 747 of 7,432 batters (10%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have walked 156 of 1,348 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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