The New York Mets (+140) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the New York Yankees (-165) on Friday, March 22, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
This season, the Mets are 9-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 6-12 ATS.
Mets vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Mets | +140 |
| Yankees | -165 |
Mets vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s matchup with 56.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- No trends found
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Estevan Florial has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+1.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- Franchy Cordero has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.05 Units / 52% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 152 games (+17.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 81 games at home (+3.80 Units / 3% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Mets are 10-8 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 9.96% ROI).
- 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / -2.52% ROI
- 3-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / -57.27% ROI
- 13-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 48.1% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Yankees are 6-12 against the Run Line (+0 Units / -36.57% ROI).
- 6-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / -35.19% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 6.87% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / -14.76% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joey Lucchesi has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to May 13rd — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 9.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mets were just 6-39 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Mets are 151-2 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Mets were just 2-72 (.027) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Mets are 46-28 (.622) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Yankees are 19-17 (.528) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Yankees are 73-26 (.737) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Yankees are 108-28 (.794) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Yankees are 44-48 (.478) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .363.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mets hitters had an OBP of .343 (764 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Mets hitters had a groundball batting average of just .228 in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Mets batted just .235 at home in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees batted just .227 in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees hitters had a groundball batting average of just .212 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Yankees batted just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Yankees hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,359 of their 5,973 plate appearances (23%) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers walked 140 of 1,412 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 53% of their games on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Mets pitchers walked 591 of 6,084 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers threw at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Yankees pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in 65% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents batted just .234 against Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wandy Peralta (New York Yankees): Personal, Day-To-Day
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Calf, Out
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, Out
- Yacksel Rios (New York Mets): Shoulder, Out
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, Out
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