- The Braves are -200 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Braves TV Channel: MASN | BSSO | MLBN
The Washington Nationals (+165) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-200) on Thursday, May 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Nationals are 25-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 26-27 ATS.
Nationals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams 4-0, 2.34 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 2-2, 1.77 ERA
Nationals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -120 | O 8.5 +100 | +165 |
| Braves | -1.5 +100 | U 8.5 -120 | -200 |
Nationals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 66.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Nationals vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 18 games (+25.90 Units / 144% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+15.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+14.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Riley Adams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.70 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 49 games (+15.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+15.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+12.95 Units / 63% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 28 games (+12.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 46 games (+13.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 46 games (+11.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 46 games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 48 games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 29 away games (+5.60 Units / 17% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 39 games (+18.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.99 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 40 games (+4.15 Units / 9% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 33-21 against the Run Line (+9.53 Units / 13.72% ROI).
- 25-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 15.13% ROI
- 23-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -12.81% ROI
- 28-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.48 Units / 4.14% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 26-27 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units / 0.92% ROI).
- 31-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -3.85% ROI
- 19-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.65 Units / -27.1% ROI
- 32-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.1 Units / 18.83% ROI
Braves vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Braves vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ildemaro Vargas (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams (WAS) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
| Raymond Kerr (ATL) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 39% of Trevor Williams’ non-fastballs (872/2,239) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (839/1,648) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 38% of Trevor Williams’ non-fastballs (632/1,648) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Williams has thrown low pitches 78% of the time (156/201) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reynaldo Lopez has walked 23 of 124 left-handed batters (18%) since last season — 3rd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 10% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .190 (15-for-79) against Reynaldo Lopez on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .270 — 95th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has walked 19 of 399 right-handed batters (5%) since the 2022 season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has walked 38 of 232 left-handed batters (16%) since last season — tied for 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 10% — seventh Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Nationals are 5-1 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
The Nationals are just 45-87 (.341) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Nationals are just 24-44 (.353) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Nationals are just 54-95 (.362) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Braves are 34-59 (.366) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Braves are 49-48 (.505) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Braves are 29-43 (.403) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Nationals are just 3-13 (.188) against the run line (-52.4% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .384 against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .917 (1,502 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.085.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .816 (8,253 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Braves hitters are slugging .496 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Braves hitters are slugging .461 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Braves hitters are slugging .478 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .359 (1,906 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.2 MPH (1,263 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Nationals vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
