- The Giants are -200 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Giants Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Giants TV Channel: MAS2 | NSBA | MLBN
The Washington Nationals (+165) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-200) on Wednesday, April 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Nationals are 5-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 4-8 ATS.
Nationals vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 0-1, 7.21 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Jordan Hicks 1-0, 0.73 ERA
Nationals vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -120 | O 8.5 -115 | +165 |
| Giants | -1.5 +100 | U 8.5 -105 | -200 |
Nationals vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 62.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+16.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+11.00 Units / 115% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+10.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+9.45 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+16.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+14.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+13.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.65 Units / 40% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 144 games (+23.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 77 away games (+10.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.93 Units / 44% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 6-5 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -5.88% ROI).
- 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 14.93% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.45 Units / 3.73% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -13.99% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 4-8 against the Run Line (-6.7 Units / -39.53% ROI).
- 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -40.52% ROI
- 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 29.34% ROI
- 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -36.67% ROI
Giants vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Soler | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Chapman | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Gallo | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Murphy | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Flores | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Giants vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chapman | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Soler | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Murphy | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| J. Abrams | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Giants vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chapman | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Soler | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Murphy | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Flores | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Thomas | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hicks | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +110 |
| Corbin | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .293 (210-for-717) against Patrick Corbin in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — second Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has thrown low pitches 71% of the time (34/48) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of 1.313 (16 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .672 — fourth Percentile.
Patrick Corbin had a strike rate of just 58% (451/776) in two strike counts in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 44% (8/18) against Jordan Hicks this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks threw 423 fastballs at 100+ MPH in the 2023 season — most among in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks threw 563 fastballs at 100+ MPH in the 2023 season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks has thrown 424 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — most among in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Nationals are just 21-38 (.356) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Nationals are just 65-43 (.602) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Nationals are just 41-66 (.383) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Giants are 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Giants were 66-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Giants are just 33-62 (.347) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .456.
The Giants were 22-13 (.629) after a home loss in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting just .061 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .161.
Nationals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters put 41% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .053 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .161.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .509 (176 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Giants are batting just .239 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .500 against Giants pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Giants vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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