- The Giants are -175 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Giants Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Giants TV Channel: MASN | NSBA
The Washington Nationals (+145) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-175) on Tuesday, April 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Nationals are 4-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 4-7 ATS.
Nationals vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray 0-2, 14.05 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 1-1, 5.07 ERA
Nationals vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 -115 | +145 |
| Giants | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 -105 | -175 |
Nationals vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+16.20 Units / 49% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 23 away games (+10.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 away games (+9.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+9.10 Units / 106% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+16.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 15 games at home (+15.35 Units / 65% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+14.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+12.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+12.20 Units / 48% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 144 games (+23.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 78 away games (+11.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.93 Units / 44% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 5-5 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -14.02% ROI).
- 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 13.64% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -24.55% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 4-7 against the Run Line (-5.7 Units / -35.74% ROI).
- 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -32.09% ROI
- 8-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.85 Units / 40.76% ROI
- 3-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units / -48.18% ROI
Giants vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gallo | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Yastrzemski | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Meneses | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Vargas | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Lipscomb | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 -2500 |
Giants vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Harrison | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
| Gray | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .318 (7-for-22) against Josiah Gray with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .171 — second Percentile.
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .950 (19 Total Bases / 20 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .387 — second Percentile.
Josiah Gray has an ERA of 14.04 (8.1 IP)this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.77 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .318 (7-for-22) against Josiah Gray with two-strikes this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — second Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (9/33) against Kyle Harrison this season — 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (9/33) against Kyle Harrison this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (9/59) against Kyle Harrison this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — fourth Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 53% of the time (62/116) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Nationals are just 21-38 (.356) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Nationals are just 41-66 (.383) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Nationals are just 47-81 (.367) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Giants are 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Giants are just 17-34 (.333) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .465.
The Giants are 40-32 (.556) after a road win since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Giants are 24-13 (.649) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .510.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Nationals are batting just .056 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .161.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
The Giants are batting just .058 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .161.
The Giants are batting just .239 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .500 against Giants pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Giants vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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