- The Rangers are -175 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Rangers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Nationals / Rangers TV Channel: MAS2 | BSSW
The Washington Nationals (+150) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-185) on Wednesday, May 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Nationals are 14-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 14-16 ATS.
Nationals vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams 2-0, 2.81 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 0-3, 6.27 ERA
Nationals vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -130 | O 9 -110 | +150 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +105 | U 9 -110 | -185 |
Nationals vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Senzel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+30.50 Units / 436% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.10 Units / 70% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Evan Carter has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games (+16.20 Units / 135% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+15.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 59% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 38% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 87 games (+22.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 67 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 149 games (+19.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 81 of their last 150 games (+18.83 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 71 games at home (+15.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 150 games (+13.38 Units / 7% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 18-11 against the Run Line (+4.98 Units / 12.86% ROI).
- 14-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.45 Units / 21.9% ROI
- 12-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -14.07% ROI
- 15-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.63 Units / 5.07% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 14-16 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -9.99% ROI).
- 16-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.94% ROI
- 12-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -17.05% ROI
- 16-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 8.14% ROI
Rangers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -225 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Rangers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nick Senzel (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ildemaro Vargas (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Rangers vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (1,029/2,023) of the time since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Trevor Williams has a strike rate of just 52% (458/887) on sliders since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Williams has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 51% (561/1,091) of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (733/1,432) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .200 against Andrew Heaney on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 10th best among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP– 86th Percentile. Opponents batted .440 (33-for-75) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — tied for seventh worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– sixth Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 41% (17/42) against Andrew Heaney when he’s behind in the count this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (6/26) against Andrew Heaney — tied for lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 56% (503/898) of the time since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Nationals are just 42-68 (.382) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Nationals are just 43-179 (.194) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Nationals are just 14-23 (.378) after a home win since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Nationals are just 22-40 (.355) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Rangers are just 2-152 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 2-64 (.030) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Rangers are 36-19 (.655) after a home win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Rangers are 40-20 (.667) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting just .090 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .158.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Nationals hitters have 626 extra-base hits out of 2,025 total hits (just 31%) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Nationals hitters have just 962 strikeouts in 4,947 PA’s (19%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .782 (5,524 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .339 (1,903 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .831 (3,725 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
The Rangers are batting .270 at home since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 16 of 265 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rangers vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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