- The Nationals are -115 favorites vs the Rockies
- Nationals vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
- Nationals / Rockies TV Channel: MAS2 | ROTV
The Washington Nationals (-115) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-105) on Friday, June 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Nationals are 36-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 36-39 ATS.
Nationals vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Davidjohn Herz 1-1, 3.77 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson 2-9, 4.89 ERA
Nationals vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | -1.5 +135 | O 11 -105 | -115 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -160 | U 11 -115 | -105 |
Nationals vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+15.70 Units / 262% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+12.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+12.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 40 games (+12.25 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 35 games (+12.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 38 games (+11.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Dakota Hudson has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.50 Units / 56% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 66 games (+17.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 66 games (+15.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 68 games (+9.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 away games (+9.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.35 Units / 46% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 39 games (+11.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 39 games (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games (+5.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 45 games (+4.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 45-29 against the Run Line (+13.53 Units / 14.18% ROI).
- 36-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.95 Units / 15.5% ROI
- 31-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.55 Units / -14.27% ROI
- 39-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.73 Units / 5.78% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 36-39 against the Run Line (-10.35 Units / -11.34% ROI).
- 26-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -8.13% ROI
- 38-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.55% ROI
- 35-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -8.34% ROI
Rockies vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eddie Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nolan Jones (COL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Rockies vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Young (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Ildemaro Vargas (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jesse Winker (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Rockies vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Eddie Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Rockies vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| DJ Herz (WAS) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Dakota Hudson (COL) | 2.5 -120 | 2.5 -110 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (28/81) against Davidjohn Herz on pitches in the strike zone this month (3 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 45% of Davidjohn Herz’s pitches (38/84) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.
Davidjohn Herz has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 11.0 innings pitched — Justin Martinez has the longest active streak at 20.2.
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (42/114) against Davidjohn Herz this month (3 games) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .537 (22-for-41) against Dakota Hudson on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — first Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 10% (12 SO in 126 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 17% (50/301) against Dakota Hudson this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 13% (41 SO in 325 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Nationals are 6-1 (.857) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .578.
The Nationals are just 28-47 (.373) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Nationals are just 51-198 (.205) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Nationals are just 3-32 (.086) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Rockies are just 22-22 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Rockies are just 60-28 (.682) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Rockies are just 45-33 (.577) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rockies are just 74-11 (.871) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 514 strikeouts in 2,647 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have drawn 115 walks in 2,100 PA’s (6%) when leading off an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Nationals are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .346 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.3 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
The Rockies won only 27% of their road games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 27% against Nationals pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .352 (2,084 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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