- The Nationals are -115 favorites vs the Rockies
- Nationals vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Nationals / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | MASN | MLBN
The Washington Nationals (-115) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-105) on Saturday, June 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Nationals are 37-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 36-40 ATS.
Nationals vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 5-3, 3.09 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 6-5, 3.45 ERA
Nationals vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | -1.5 +135 | O 10.5 -105 | -115 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -160 | U 10.5 -115 | -105 |
Nationals vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+14.70 Units / 210% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+11.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+11.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+10.45 Units / 13% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 36 games (+17.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 39 games (+12.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.30 Units / 63% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.25 Units / 55% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 67 games (+18.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+16.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 36 away games (+10.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 69 games (+8.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 37 away games (+6.50 Units / 15% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games (+10.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games (+7.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 41 games (+6.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 46 games (+3.40 Units / 7% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 46-29 against the Run Line (+14.73 Units / 15.28% ROI).
- 37-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.95 Units / 16.53% ROI
- 32-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.55 Units / -12.86% ROI
- 39-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.63 Units / 4.38% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 36-40 against the Run Line (-11.75 Units / -12.68% ROI).
- 26-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -9.35% ROI
- 39-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 0.67% ROI
- 35-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.9 Units / -9.56% ROI
Rockies vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eddie Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Rockies vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Young (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nick Senzel (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Rockies vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Eddie Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jesse Winker (WAS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Rockies vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Parker (WAS) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Cal Quantrill (COL) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitchell Parker has walked 3 of 108 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has a strikeout rate of just 27% (12 SO in 45 PAs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 2nd lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has struck out just 9% (7/76) of right-handed batters he faced this month (4 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has allowed a slugging percentage of just .323 (62 Total Bases / 192 ABs) on pitches in the strike zone this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .466 — 99th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cal Quantrill has allowed a slugging percentage of .730 (27 Total Bases / 37 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .326 (14-for-43) against Cal Quantrill with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .173 — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (64/353) against Cal Quantrill this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 31% (59 SO in 188 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Nationals are 7-1 (.875) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Nationals are just 61-100 (.379) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Nationals are just 156-205 (.432) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Nationals are just 101-115 (.468) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Rockies are just 45-33 (.577) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rockies are just 101-63 (.616) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Rockies are just 66-19 (.776) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Rockies are just 60-28 (.682) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 27 strikeouts in 204 PA’s (13%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have drawn 115 walks in 2,109 PA’s (6%) when leading off an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals hitters have put 39% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Nationals are 6-2 (.750) against the run line (76.9% ROI) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .442.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.0 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.
The Rockies have won just 54% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies have won just 57% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
The Rockies won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .352 (2,093 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 26% against Nationals pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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