- The Nationals are -135 favorites vs the White Sox
- Nationals vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / White Sox TV Channel: MAS2 | NSCH
The Washington Nationals (-135) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+115) on Monday, May 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Nationals are 19-20 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 20-21 ATS.
Nationals vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams 4-0, 2.02 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-3, 4.33 ERA
Nationals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -105 | -135 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -155 | U 8.5 -115 | +115 |
Nationals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 61.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+24.90 Units / 415% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 35 games (+17.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 35 games (+15.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+12.90 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+15.70 Units / 262% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.50 Units / 125% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+7.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+7.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 56% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 87 games (+22.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 54 away games (+4.00 Units / 6% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 68 of their last 122 games (+14.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 25-14 against the Run Line (+9.03 Units / 17.73% ROI).
- 19-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 24.15% ROI
- 16-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.95 Units / -16.36% ROI
- 21-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.18 Units / 7.34% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 20-21 against the Run Line (-4.4 Units / -8.92% ROI).
- 12-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -28.86% ROI
- 18-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -12.01% ROI
- 21-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 3.33% ROI
White Sox vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Eddie Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Paul DeJong (CWS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
White Sox vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Trey Lipscomb (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Gavin Sheets (CWS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Bryan Ramos (CWS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
White Sox vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
White Sox vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams (WAS) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -105 |
| Chris Flexen (CWS) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Williams has thrown low pitches 78% of the time (110/142) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 36% (335/933) against Trevor Williams on sliders since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Trevor Williams has a strike rate of just 51% (480/933) on sliders since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (765/1,499) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .664 (148 Total Bases / 223 ABs) on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: .451 — 0 Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .603 (246 Total Bases / 408 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .435 — second Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed an OPS of .981 (213 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .754 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just .000 (0/12) against Chris Flexen — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Nationals are just 23-42 (.354) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Nationals are just 45-183 (.197) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Nationals are just 53-91 (.368) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The White Sox are just 9-24 (.273) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The White Sox are just 6-13 (.316) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The White Sox are just 61-9 (.871) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The White Sox are just 25-48 (.342) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .507.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting just .092 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .156.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .117 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .215.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .395 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Nationals hitters have just 2,687 strikeouts in 13,548 PA’s (20%) since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .290 (3,685 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (7,444 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .603 (1,464 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
White Sox hitters are slugging just .283 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 1,341 of 13,998 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
White Sox pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
White Sox vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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