- The Orioles are -185 favorites vs the Athletics
- Orioles vs Athletics Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Orioles / Athletics TV Channel: MAS2 | NSCA | MLBN
The Baltimore Orioles (-160) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+135) on Friday, July 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland, CA.
This season, the Orioles are 55-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 44-45 ATS.
Orioles vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Albert Suarez 4-2, 2.43 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Hogan Harris 1-2, 3.23 ERA
Orioles vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +100 | O 8.5 -110 | -160 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -120 | U 8.5 -110 | +135 |
Orioles vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 64.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+17.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+12.35 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Zack Gelof has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+26.40 Units / 264% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+13.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 78 games (+19.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 72 games (+15.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 46 games (+9.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games (+8.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.55 Units / 36% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 46 games (+11.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+6.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games at home (+5.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.90 Units / 41% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 49-38 against the Run Line (+18.9 Units / 18.78% ROI).
- 55-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.7 Units / 9.46% ROI
- 44-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.3 Units / 9.88% ROI
- 32-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.65 Units / -17.5% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 44-45 against the Run Line (-10.65 Units / -9.33% ROI).
- 33-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.5 Units / -11.36% ROI
- 38-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.05 Units / -15.45% ROI
- 48-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.45 Units / 5.54% ROI
Athletics vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| JJ Bleday (OAK) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Athletics vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Miguel Andujar (OAK) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Austin Hays (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jorge Mateo (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Athletics vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Austin Hays (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Athletics vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hogan Harris (OAK) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Albert Suarez has a strike rate of just 54% (197/364) when ahead in the count this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .219 (7-for-32) against Albert Suarez on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .333 — 92nd Percentile.
Albert Suarez has allowed an OBP of just .222 (72 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .315 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .091 (2-for-22) against Albert Suarez in late innings this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 96th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (177/793) against Hogan Harris since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (31/98) against Hogan Harris this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 19% (6/31) against Hogan Harris on inside fastballs this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 41% — third Percentile.
Hogan Harris has an ERA of 5.61 (102.2 IP)since last season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 4.15 — fifth Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Orioles are 51-28 (.646) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Orioles are 56-43 (.566) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 15-8 (.652) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 19-8 (.704) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Athletics are just 7-10 (.412) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Athletics are just 9-25 (.265) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Athletics are just 138-224 (.381) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Athletics are just 88-181 (.327) after a loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .490.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .460 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .812 (1,029 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .678.
Orioles hitters have 106 HRs in just 2,192 ABs (20.7 AB/HR) against RHP this season — best AB per HR rate in MLB; League Avg: 30.9 AB’s Per HR.
Orioles hitters are slugging .457 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .203 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Athletics are batting just .229 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .289 (7,427 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Athletics are batting just .216 at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 48% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Orioles pitchers have walked 155 of 2,242 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 3.42 (782.1 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.03.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Athletics vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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