Orioles vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 22

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(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 22, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Orioles are -150 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Orioles vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Orioles / Cardinals TV Channel: MAS2 | BSMW | MLBN

The Baltimore Orioles () visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals () on Wednesday, May 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Orioles are 29-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 23-24 ATS.

Orioles vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: John Means 2-0, 3.12 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 3-2, 4.09 ERA

Orioles vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles O
Cardinals U

Orioles vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 39 games (+37.45 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+18.35 Units / 102% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 44 games (+16.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+13.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.00 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 games (+23.80 Units / 132% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 44 games (+11.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+10.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 44 games (+9.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 away games (+5.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 away games (+5.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 36 games (+4.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.10 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.60 Units / 25% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 23-22 against the Run Line (+4.8 Units / 9.12% ROI).

  • 29-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 6.8% ROI
  • 23-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 6.79% ROI
  • 18-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.55 Units / -15.19% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 23-24 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -4.75% ROI).

  • 21-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -14.28% ROI
  • 22-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -6.9% ROI
  • 23-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -1.75% ROI

Cardinals vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +240 0.5 -300
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Cardinals vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Lars Nootbaar (STL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Cedric Mullins (BAL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Colton Cowser (BAL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Cardinals vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +105 0.5 -135
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190

Cardinals vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lance Lynn (STL) 4.5 -120 4.5 -110
Kyle Bradish (BAL) 5.5 +120 5.5 -155

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 17% (5/30) against John Means — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

John Means has not allowed a walk in his last 87 PAs against a RHH dating back to September 23rd, 2023 — Jake Irvin has the longest active streak at 92.

John Means’ has 7 strikeouts and no walks — tied for best in MLB K:BB ratio over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.3 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 17% (5/30) against John Means over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — fifth Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 54% (115/214) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 56% (264/473) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 36% (19/52) of opposing batters this month (3 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 59% (496/843) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Orioles are 55-41 (.573) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.

The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 26-15 (.634) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 29-21 (.580) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .425.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Cardinals are 28-12 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 17-28 (.378) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.

The Cardinals are just 44-58 (.431) at home since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Cardinals are just 5-100 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Orioles hitters are slugging .505 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .387.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of .845 (534 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Orioles hitters have 57 extra-base hits out of 136 total hits (42%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of .960 (154 PA’s) against LHP this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .693.

The Cardinals have not scored first in any of their games against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Cardinals are batting just .203 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Cardinals are batting just .235 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.

The Cardinals are batting just .205 with two outs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.

The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Orioles have won 51% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Orioles pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Orioles pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 119 of 1,847 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Cardinals vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
  • Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
  • Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
  • Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.