- The Red Sox are -130 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Orioles / Red Sox TV Channel: MASN | NESN | TBS
The Baltimore Orioles (+110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-130) on Tuesday, September 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Orioles are 82-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 66-78 ATS.
Orioles vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Albert Suarez 7-5, 3.51 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 8-13, 4.09 ERA
Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -190 | O 9 +100 | +110 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +155 | U 9 -120 | -130 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 49 games (+21.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+17.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+15.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.35 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+13.00 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 47 games (+25.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 35 games (+16.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 32 games (+15.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.40 Units / 57% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.20 Units / 55% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 136 games (+17.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 70 games (+16.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 98 games (+14.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 51 away games (+5.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 away games (+4.65 Units / 7% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 46 games at home (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+4.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.75 Units / 30% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 78-67 against the Run Line (+17.35 Units / 10% ROI).
- 82-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -2.61% ROI
- 78-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +18.1 Units / 11.46% ROI
- 55-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -30.8 Units / -19.39% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 66-78 against the Run Line (-21.3 Units / -11.19% ROI).
- 73-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -3.79% ROI
- 74-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.95 Units / 3.14% ROI
- 63-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.75 Units / -11.31% ROI
Red Sox vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Red Sox vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kutter Crawford (BOS) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Albert Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of .950 (19 Total Bases / 20 ABs) this month (1 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .381 — 0 Percentile.
Albert Suarez has allowed an OPS of 1.405 (22 PA’s) this month (1 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .681 — first Percentile.
Albert Suarez has struck out just 4% (1/22) of left-handed batters he faced in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Albert Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of .824 (14 Total Bases / 17 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .378 — second Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of 69% (519/748) in two strike counts this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (55/167) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .100 (2-for-20) against Kutter Crawford in his last two starts — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .247 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 20% (93/456) against Kutter Crawford this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Orioles are 60-48 (.556) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 19-11 (.633) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Orioles are 35-85 (.292) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Orioles are 94-25 (.790) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Red Sox are 19-22 (.463) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Red Sox are just 5-199 (.025) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are just 15-58 (.205) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Red Sox are just 56-191 (.227) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .759 (3,234 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .754 (1,533 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 470 strikeouts in 1,664 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Red Sox are batting .392 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Red Sox hitters have 838 strikeouts in 3,242 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Red Sox are batting .269 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Orioles have won 42% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Orioles pitchers won 41% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 191 of 2,728 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 402 of 5,474 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Boston Red Sox – No Injuries Reported
- Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported
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