- The Orioles are -135 favorites vs the Royals
- Orioles vs Royals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Orioles / Royals TV Channel: MAS2 | BSKC | MLBN
The Baltimore Orioles (-125) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+105) on Saturday, April 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Orioles are 12-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 13-7 ATS.
Orioles vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Orioles vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +140 | O 7.5 -120 | -125 |
| Royals | +1.5 -165 | U 7.5 +100 | +105 |
Orioles vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 60.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Grayson Rodriguez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.45 Units / 70% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+7.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Corbin Burnes has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 16 away games (+6.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 23 games (+5.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Grayson Rodriguez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.90 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Seth Lugo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Seth Lugo has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Strikeouts Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.50 Units / 86% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Cole Ragans has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 59% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 90 of their last 147 games (+29.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 71 away games (+24.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 69 away games (+19.47 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 away games (+14.61 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 11-8 against the Run Line (+5.4 Units / 26.15% ROI).
- 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 9.52% ROI
- 12-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.4 Units / 29.91% ROI
- 5-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.05 Units / -39.36% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 13-7 against the Run Line (+4.3 Units / 16.1% ROI).
- 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 25.15% ROI
- 7-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.65 Units / -29.17% ROI
- 12-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.65 Units / 21.83% ROI
Royals vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1400 |
Royals vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Royals vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Royals vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (15/23) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 60% of the time (170/285) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 65% of the time (338/521) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 61% of the time (14/23) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 36% (58/159) against Cole Ragans this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 36% (58/159) against Cole Ragans this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 37% (27/73) against Cole Ragans this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (63/189) against Cole Ragans this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 95th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Orioles are 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 57-58 (.496) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Orioles are 54-41 (.568) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Orioles are 43-19 (.694) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Royals are just 13-85 (.133) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 9-23 (.281) after a road win since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Royals are just 17-44 (.279) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .348 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Orioles are 40-17 (.702) against the run line (32.4% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .502.
Orioles hitters have drawn 33 walks in 527 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.92.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,290 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals have won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Games involving the Royals went UNDER in 77% of their games (47.0% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 44 of 713 batters (6%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Orioles have won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have allowed 2.36 runs per game (26/11) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.59.
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 2.34 (100.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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