- The Padres are -110 favorites vs the Mets
- Padres vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Padres / Mets TV Channel: SNY | PDTV
The San Diego Padres (-110) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-110) on Friday, June 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Padres are 37-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 30-37 ATS.
Padres vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Matt Waldron 4-5, 3.79 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 3-3, 4.35 ERA
Padres vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -105 | -110 |
| Mets | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -115 | -110 |
Padres vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Higashioka has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+21.80 Units / 436% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 44 games (+16.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 31 games (+13.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 19 away games (+13.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+12.10 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 41 games (+10.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+8.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- DJ Stewart has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+8.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.40 Units / 84% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 33 away games (+15.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.55 Units / 76% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 away games (+4.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.50 Units / 18% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 58 games (+8.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+5.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+2.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 36-36 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 3.73% ROI).
- 37-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -6.55% ROI
- 36-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -2.67% ROI
- 35-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -5.89% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 30-37 against the Run Line (-10.15 Units / -11.69% ROI).
- 30-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.3 Units / -12.19% ROI
- 33-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.14% ROI
- 30-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -8% ROI
Mets vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Mets vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Mets vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Mets vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Waldron (SD) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
| Sean Manaea (NYM) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Waldron has allowed a slugging percentage of just .143 (6 Total Bases / 42 ABs) over the last 14 days — best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .407 — 100th Percentile.
Matt Waldron has not allowed a runner to reach base (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .282 — 100th Percentile.
Matt Waldron has allowed an OPS of just .302 (44 PA’s) — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .696 — 99th Percentile.
Matt Waldron has allowed an OBP of just .159 (44 PA’s) this month (2 games) — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.062 (17 Total Bases / 16 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .400 — first Percentile.
Sean Manaea has an ERA of 10.61 (9.1 IP)this month (2 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.84 — first Percentile.
Sean Manaea has allowed an OPS of 1.563 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .680 — 0 Percentile.
Sean Manaea has allowed an OPS of 1.563 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .713 — first Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Padres are just 7-21 (.250) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Padres are 27-3 (.900) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .812.
The Padres are 9-4 (.692) after a road loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Padres are just 0-32 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .061.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Mets are just 18-10 (.643) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .888.
The Mets are just 23-6 (.793) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .939.
The Mets are just 14-9 (.609) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .844.
The Mets are 5-28 (.152) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .061.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .288 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Padres hitters have an OBP of .338 (1,860 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Padres hitters have just 70 strikeouts in 503 PA’s (14%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have an OBP of .378 (343 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have won just 30% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
The Mets are batting .271 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Mets are just 18-10 (.643) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .888.
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .644 (1,406 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,921 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers have walked 14 of 114 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Padres pitchers have walked 14 of 105 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 856 of 8,676 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have walked 62 of 605 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 57% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
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