- The Padres are -200 favorites vs the Rockies
- Padres vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11.5 Runs
- Padres / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV
The San Diego Padres (-200) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+165) on Sunday, August 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Padres are 70-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 63-61 ATS.
Padres vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove 3-4, 5.27 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Bradley Blalock 0-0, 4.05 ERA
Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -2.5 +100 | O 11.5 -120 | -200 |
| Rockies | +2.5 -120 | U 11.5 +100 | +165 |
Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 65.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Padres vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 50 games (+32.10 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Walks Under in 36 of his last 48 games (+16.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 41 games (+13.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+13.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 33 games (+12.90 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 47 games (+23.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+14.20 Units / 80% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.60 Units / 58% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 36% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 47 games (+16.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 62 away games (+16.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 away games (+6.40 Units / 35% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 44 games at home (+9.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 44 games at home (+5.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+3.65 Units / 14% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 64-60 against the Run Line (+6.35 Units / 4.12% ROI).
- 70-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 2.99% ROI
- 66-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.85 Units / 3.58% ROI
- 56-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.1 Units / -12.45% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 63-61 against the Run Line (-10.45 Units / -6.84% ROI).
- 45-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.35 Units / -8.37% ROI
- 62-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -2.15% ROI
- 59-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -6.82% ROI
Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Blackmon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ha-seong Kim (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jacob Stallings (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kyle Higashioka (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jake Cave (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| David Peralta (SD) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley Blalock (COL) | 2.5 -130 | 2.5 +100 |
| Joe Musgrove (SD) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Musgrove has located his fastball inside 46% of the time (339/736) since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .324 (68-for-210) against Joe Musgrove versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: .256 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% (105/313) against Joe Musgrove on fastballs since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 20% (36/176) against Joe Musgrove on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 21% (4/19) against Bradley Blalock in his last start — tied for 8th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 42% — ninth Percentile.
Bradley Blalock has not walked any of the 23 batters that he has faced over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for best among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Bradley Blalock has allowed three-ball counts to 35% of batters they faced (8/23 PA’s) this month (1 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 20% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (4/19) against Bradley Blalock this month (1 games) — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 41% — third Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are 51-4 (.927) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Padres are 23-15 (.605) after a road win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .469.
The Padres are 13-10 (.565) after a road loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Padres are 113-20 (.850) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 27-25 (.519) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Rockies are just 74-43 (.632) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies are just 73-31 (.695) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Rockies are just 78-20 (.788) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .283 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Padres hitters have just 822 strikeouts in 4,674 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have just 235 strikeouts in 1,354 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have just 587 strikeouts in 3,320 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .299 (3,038 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies won only 27% of their road games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.0 MPH since last season (6,933 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% against Padres pitchers this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nolan Jones (Colorado Rockies): Back, 10-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Yu Darvish (San Diego Padres): Personal, Out
- Rougned Odor (San Diego Padres): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tom Cosgrove (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Suspension, Suspension
- Joe Musgrove (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Fernando Tatis (San Diego Padres): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
Bet now on Padres vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
