- The Phillies are -110 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Phillies vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Phillies / Blue Jays TV Channel: NSPA | RSN | TVA
The Philadelphia Phillies (-105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-115) on Tuesday, September 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Phillies are 81-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 69-70 ATS.
Phillies vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Tyler Phillips 4-1, 5.50 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 9-13, 4.30 ERA
Phillies vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 +100 | -105 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -120 | -115 |
Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+15.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+12.50 Units / 208% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 47 games (+11.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.55 Units / 67% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 42 games (+33.85 Units / 81% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+15.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 21 games at home (+14.40 Units / 69% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+13.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+13.30 Units / 41% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+16.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games (+12.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 67 of their last 122 games (+6.70 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 53 away games (+5.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 39% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 44 games at home (+18.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games (+10.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.65 Units / 14% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 67-70 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -3.31% ROI).
- 81-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 0.16% ROI
- 63-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -8.11% ROI
- 68-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -1.16% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 69-70 against the Run Line (-12.5 Units / -6.66% ROI).
- 67-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.2 Units / -7.14% ROI
- 73-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.65 Units / 3.07% ROI
- 62-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.8 Units / -12.36% ROI
Blue Jays vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Blue Jays vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Blue Jays vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Bassitt (TOR) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
| Tyler Phillips (PHI) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Phillips has limited playing time.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (28/186) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has walked 26 of 243 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an OBP of .373 (338 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .306 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (251/1,166) against Chris Bassitt this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 15th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Phillies are 18-12 (.600) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Phillies are 7-3 (.700) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Phillies are 27-24 (.529) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Phillies are 71-12 (.855) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Blue Jays are 38-30 (.559) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Blue Jays are just 14-63 (.182) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Blue Jays are 62-49 (.559) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Blue Jays are just 8-26 (.235) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .347 (1,637 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .337 (3,506 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Phillies are batting .273 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .787 (3,506 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .363 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .537 (9,099 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The Blue Jays are batting .248 with two outs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Blue Jays hitters have just 3,591 strikeouts in 17,560 PA’s (20%) since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 366 of 5,098 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Phillies have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 54% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
- Philadelphia Phillies – No Injuries Reported
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