- The Phillies are -130 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Phillies vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Phillies / Blue Jays TV Channel: WCAU | RSN | ESPN+ | MLBN
The Philadelphia Phillies (-135) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+115) on Wednesday, September 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Phillies are 82-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 69-71 ATS.
Phillies vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 9-9, 3.46 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Bowden Francis 8-3, 3.65 ERA
Phillies vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +130 | O 8 -110 | -135 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -155 | U 8 -110 | +115 |
Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 43 games (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Edmundo Sosa has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 away games (+12.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 47 games (+11.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+11.50 Units / 164% ROI)
- Edmundo Sosa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+11.35 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 43 games (+38.15 Units / 89% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 43 games (+16.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 43 games (+14.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 43 games (+14.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 22 games at home (+13.40 Units / 61% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 46 games (+15.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 79 games (+11.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 54 away games (+6.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 67 of their last 123 games (+5.70 Units / 3% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+19.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 37 games (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.95 Units / 62% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 68-70 against the Run Line (-4.5 Units / -2.68% ROI).
- 82-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 0.62% ROI
- 64-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.25 Units / -7.39% ROI
- 68-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -1.82% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 69-71 against the Run Line (-13.5 Units / -7.16% ROI).
- 67-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.35 Units / -7.77% ROI
- 74-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.65 Units / 3.7% ROI
- 62-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.8 Units / -12.93% ROI
Blue Jays vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Blue Jays vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Blue Jays vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bowden Francis (TOR) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
| Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristopher Sanchez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .355 (77 Total Bases / 217 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .414 — 100th Percentile.
Cristopher Sanchez has thrown his changeup 54% of the time (367/684) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total CH; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Cristopher Sanchez has allowed an OBP of .309 (233 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — 36th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .412 (7-for-17) against Cristopher Sanchez when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .217 — third Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bowden Francis has pitched 7 or more innings in each of his last four games — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Bowden Francis has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to August 12nd — the longest active streak is 5.
Bowden Francis has thrown elevated pitches 37% of the time (322/863) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 31% — 90th Percentile.
Bowden Francis has thrown elevated pitches 37% of the time (321/860) vs left-handed batters since last season — 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 29% — 84th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Phillies are 71-12 (.855) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Phillies are just 3-7 (.300) after a loss as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .432.
The Phillies are 18-12 (.600) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Phillies are 27-24 (.529) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Blue Jays are just 16-36 (.308) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Blue Jays are 38-31 (.551) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Blue Jays are just 8-26 (.235) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Blue Jays are just 14-63 (.182) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies have a winning percentage of 65% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Phillies are just 4-6 (.400) against the run line (-37.5% ROI) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Games involving the Phillies went OVER in 79% of their games (60.7% ROI) when slight moneyline underdogs (+101 to +149) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Phillies are just 8-11 (.421) against the run line (-34.1% ROI) when slight moneyline underdogs (+101 to +149) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .598.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays won 57% of their road games in the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Blue Jays are just 50-76 (.397) against the run line (-22.6% ROI) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Blue Jays have won just 65% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Blue Jays are 38-31 (11.3% ROI) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Phillies pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Phillies pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 49% of their games at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Blue Jays have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
- Philadelphia Phillies – No Injuries Reported
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