- The Phillies are -140 favorites vs the Braves
- Phillies vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Phillies / Braves TV Channel: NSPA | BSSO | TBS
The Philadelphia Phillies (-140) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (+120) on Tuesday, August 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Phillies are 73-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 54-70 ATS.
Phillies vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 12-5, 2.75 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 7-4, 2.07 ERA
Phillies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -115 | -140 |
| Braves | +1.5 -155 | U 8.5 -105 | +120 |
Phillies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 36 games (+11.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 away games (+10.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+9.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Edmundo Sosa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 away games (+8.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 32 games (+8.85 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 games (+23.20 Units / 193% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 32 of his last 48 games (+21.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 34 of his last 48 games (+19.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 36 of his last 49 games (+18.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 48 games (+13.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 63 of their last 109 games (+13.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 away games (+10.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 107 games (+10.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 51 away games (+8.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 47 away games (+5.85 Units / 11% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 69 of their last 110 games (+27.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+3.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.45 Units / 24% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 62-62 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -1.63% ROI).
- 73-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -0.95% ROI
- 58-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.6 Units / -7.01% ROI
- 61-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.1 Units / -2.28% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 54-70 against the Run Line (-19.45 Units / -13.15% ROI).
- 66-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.65 Units / -11.23% ROI
- 47-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.35 Units / -23.16% ROI
- 72-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.05 Units / 14.57% ROI
Braves vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Braves vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Braves vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -115 |
| Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OPS of just .415 (258 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .679 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .150 (36-for-240) against Zack Wheeler this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (2,275/5,334) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed a slugging percentage of just .217 (52 Total Bases / 240 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .096 (8-for-83) against Reynaldo Lopez with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 33% (44/133) against Reynaldo Lopez this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has allowed an OPS of just .368 (107 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .731 — 100th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has walked 23 of 497 right-handed batters (5%) since the 2022 season — 8th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Phillies are just 2-11 (.154) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 6-2 (.750) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Phillies are 17-11 (.607) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Phillies are 26-23 (.531) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
keys to the game – home
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .274 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Phillies are batting .259 with two outs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .348 (1,519 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .788 (3,388 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 807 of 10,686 batters (8%) since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jimmy Herget (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Harris (Atlanta Braves): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Fried (Atlanta Braves): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Luplow (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Austin Riley (Atlanta Braves): Personal, Paternity
- Ray Kerr (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Ronald Acuna (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 60-Day IL
- Rodolfo Castro (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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