- The Phillies are -110 favorites vs the Braves
- Phillies vs Braves Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Phillies / Braves TV Channel: FOX
The Philadelphia Phillies (-110) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-110) on Thursday, August 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Phillies are 74-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 56-70 ATS.
Phillies vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 9-8, 3.43 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 4-6, 4.05 ERA
Phillies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -105 | -110 |
| Braves | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -115 | -110 |
Phillies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+13.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 34 games (+12.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Edmundo Sosa has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+10.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 40 games (+10.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 31 games (+10.00 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+22.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 14 games (+21.20 Units / 151% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+19.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+19.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+15.70 Units / 21% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 20 away games (+12.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 63 of their last 111 games (+11.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 67 games (+9.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 109 games (+8.05 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 76 games (+4.65 Units / 6% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 71 of their last 112 games (+29.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 22% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 62-64 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -2.93% ROI).
- 74-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -1.21% ROI
- 58-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -8.42% ROI
- 63-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -0.8% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 56-70 against the Run Line (-17.45 Units / -11.56% ROI).
- 67-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.4 Units / -10.99% ROI
- 47-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.45 Units / -24.34% ROI
- 74-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.05 Units / 15.76% ROI
Braves vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Braves vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (108/174) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (258/438) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (173/269) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Cristopher Sanchez has allowed a slugging percentage of .580 (40 Total Bases / 69 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .360 — fifth Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Schwellenbach has struck out 47% (19/40) of right-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .471 (8-for-17) against Spencer Schwellenbach when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .245 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .423 (11-for-26) against Spencer Schwellenbach when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — second Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has not walked any of the 18 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Phillies are 17-11 (.607) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Phillies are 26-23 (.531) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Phillies are 11-105 (.095) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Phillies are 6-2 (.750) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Braves are just 3-8 (.273) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Braves are 30-17 (.638) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Braves are just 4-24 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Braves are 74-135 (.354) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .279.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .786 (3,412 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Phillies are batting .265 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .336 (5,161 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .780 (5,161 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .452 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Braves hitters are slugging .683 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .572.
Braves hitters are slugging .468 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Braves are batting .269 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .234 against Phillies pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Braves pitchers this month (19 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Braves pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jimmy Herget (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Harris (Atlanta Braves): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Fried (Atlanta Braves): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Luplow (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Austin Riley (Atlanta Braves): Personal, Paternity
- Ray Kerr (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Ronald Acuna (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 60-Day IL
- Rodolfo Castro (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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