- The Phillies are -135 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Phillies vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Phillies / Cardinals TV Channel: BSMW
The Philadelphia Phillies (-135) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+115) on Tuesday, April 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Phillies are 5-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 7-4 ATS.
Phillies vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 0-1, 0.75 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Phillies vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +130 | O 7.5 -115 | -135 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -155 | U 7.5 -105 | +115 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 24 away games (+11.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 24 away games (+10.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+10.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 23 away games (+9.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 24 away games (+8.85 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games (+10.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.50 Units / 75% ROI)
- Kyle Gibson has hit the Earned Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+8.40 Units / 63% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.35 Units / 73% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 92 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 5-5 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -4.23% ROI).
- 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -11.23% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -5.38% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -4.15% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 7-4 against the Run Line (+3.9 Units / 29% ROI).
- 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.4% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -10.46% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 6.53% ROI
Cardinals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gorman | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Harper | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| T. Realmuto | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Arenado | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Winn | 0.5 +1300 | 0.5 -3000 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wheeler | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +100 |
| Gray | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler located 44% of his pitches inside (277/624) when ahead in the count in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown fastballs 78% of the time (74/95) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler’s has 7 strikeouts and no walks vs left-handed batters this season — tied for best K:BB ratio among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.9 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (1,658/3,869) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .116 (23 Total Bases / 199 ABs) on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 100th Percentile.
15 of Sonny Gray’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in the 2023 season — tied for 5th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 90th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .175 (47 Total Bases / 269 ABs) on sliders since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .383 — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray allowed a slugging percentage of just .226 (77 Total Bases / 340 ABs) on non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .386 — 99th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Phillies were 7-64 (.099) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Phillies were 52-37 (.584) after a win in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Phillies were 11-9 (.550) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Phillies are 106-74 (.589) after a win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Cardinals were just 4-77 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Cardinals are just 18-43 (.295) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.
The Cardinals were just 4-70 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .262 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .774 (3,770 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .234 (47 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .333 (3,770 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .175 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Cardinals are batting .281 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 42% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .325 (12,785 PA’s) since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 206 of 2,967 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
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