- The Dodgers are -130 favorites vs the Phillies
- Phillies vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Phillies / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | NSPA | MLBN
The Philadelphia Phillies (+110) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-130) on Monday, August 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Phillies are 66-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 54-58 ATS.
Phillies vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 11-4, 3.46 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 8-6, 3.49 ERA
Phillies vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | +1.5 -200 | O 7.5 +100 | +110 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 -120 | -130 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+14.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 26 games (+13.30 Units / 51% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 44 games (+13.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 33 games (+10.05 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+22.00 Units / 314% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 37 games (+15.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+11.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.15 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 37 games (+10.95 Units / 29% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 59 of their last 96 games (+19.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 94 games (+17.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 56 of their last 93 games (+12.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 55 of their last 94 games (+10.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 92 games (+5.50 Units / 5% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+4.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.00 Units / 16% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 56-55 against the Run Line (+0.05 Units / 0.04% ROI).
- 66-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -0.5% ROI
- 51-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.1 Units / -8.23% ROI
- 55-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -1.11% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 54-58 against the Run Line (-10.3 Units / -7.61% ROI).
- 65-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.65 Units / -6.9% ROI
- 58-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -0.2% ROI
- 53-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.85 Units / -8.77% ROI
Dodgers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jason Heyward (LAD) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Dodgers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Dodgers vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Dodgers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola (PHI) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Tyler Glasnow (LAD) | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -115 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (464/1,460) when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 173 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 96th Percentile.
Hitters have chased 635 of Aaron Nola’s 1,378 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 46%) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 173 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (335/961) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 97th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has allowed an OBP of just .240 (770 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 61% (74 SO in 121 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .127 (21-for-166) against Tyler Glasnow when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has allowed a slugging percentage of just .127 (15 Total Bases / 118 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 35% (112/317) against Tyler Glasnow this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Phillies are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 15-10 (.600) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Phillies are 11-99 (.100) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Phillies are 36-143 (.201) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Dodgers are 54-27 (.667) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Dodgers are 22-36 (.379) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Dodgers are 70-124 (.361) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Dodgers are 244-46 (.841) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .791 (1,362 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .785 (3,231 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Phillies hitters are slugging .445 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .344 (1,362 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of 1.219 (2,123 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.089.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (12,170 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (10,668 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Dodgers are batting .363 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,209 of 16,055 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Dodgers vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Glasnow (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Miguel Rojas (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Ryan Brasier (Los Angeles Dodgers): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Connor Brogdon (Los Angeles Dodgers): Foot, 60-Day IL
- Mookie Betts (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Muncy (Los Angeles Dodgers): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Neck, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Michael Grove (Los Angeles Dodgers): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 60-Day IL
- Rodolfo Castro (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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