- The Phillies are -125 favorites vs the Giants
- Phillies vs Giants Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Phillies / Giants TV Channel: NSPA | NSBA
The Philadelphia Phillies (-125) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+105) on Wednesday, May 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Phillies are 38-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 29-27 ATS.
Phillies vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 2-3, 3.02 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 4-1, 3.93 ERA
Phillies vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -115 | -125 |
| Giants | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -105 | +105 |
Phillies vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 46 games (+15.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 away games (+11.70 Units / 73% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 50 games (+11.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+11.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.95 Units / 67% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 27 games (+19.60 Units / 73% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+12.05 Units / 53% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 27 of his last 35 games (+11.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 16 games at home (+10.05 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+9.60 Units / 44% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 39 games (+24.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 41 games (+15.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 39 games (+14.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 40 games (+14.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 37 games (+11.80 Units / 26% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+10.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+9.25 Units / 60% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+8.10 Units / 56% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 31-25 against the Run Line (+6.35 Units / 9.23% ROI).
- 38-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.8 Units / 11.51% ROI
- 27-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -2.68% ROI
- 26-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -6.4% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 29-27 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 2.01% ROI).
- 29-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -1.87% ROI
- 29-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 2.77% ROI
- 25-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.05 Units / -11.39% ROI
Giants vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Giants vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Whit Merrifield (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Wilmer Flores (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Giants vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Wilmer Flores (SF) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Giants vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Kyle Harrison (SF) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .300 (15-for-50) against Cristopher Sanchez with two-strikes this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .329 (27-for-82) against Cristopher Sanchez when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — second Percentile.
Cristopher Sanchez has allowed a slugging percentage of .676 (25 Total Bases / 37 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (104/157) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 51% of the time (144/281) with two-strikes this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has walked 9 of 45 batters (20%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has thrown fastballs 70% of the time (197/281) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has walked 9 of 45 batters (20%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (5 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Phillies are 38-70 (.352) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Phillies are 55-40 (.579) after a road win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Phillies are 47-27 (.635) after a home win since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Phillies are 22-129 (.146) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Giants are 154-5 (.969) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Giants are 32-16 (.667) after a home loss since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Giants are just 26-30 (.464) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Giants are 14-9 (.609) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .339 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Phillies hitters are slugging .504 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .344 (749 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
The Phillies have scored first in 81% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .482 (4,405 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .237 (4,405 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Giants hitters are slugging just .406 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Giants hitters have drawn 949 walks in 10,041 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .134 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 19% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Phillies have won 69% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 28 of 496 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers have walked 1,021 of 14,240 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
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