- The Phillies are -105 favorites vs the Mariners
- Phillies vs Mariners Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Phillies / Mariners TV Channel: NSPA | RTNW | MLBN
The Philadelphia Phillies (-110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-110) on Friday, August 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Phillies are 65-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 49-61 ATS.
Phillies vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Tyler Phillips 3-0, 1.80 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 4-1, 2.36 ERA
Phillies vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -110 | -110 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -110 | -110 |
Phillies vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 games (+16.30 Units / 71% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+15.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+13.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+13.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+11.85 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 38 games (+12.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+12.20 Units / 305% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+8.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+8.10 Units / 26% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 57 of their last 93 games (+18.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 57 of their last 91 games (+16.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 55 of their last 90 games (+14.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 53 of their last 91 games (+9.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.60 Units / 9% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 53 games at home (+18.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 49 games at home (+11.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 54 games at home (+10.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.40 Units / 38% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 54-54 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -0.2% ROI).
- 65-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 0.14% ROI
- 49-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -9.21% ROI
- 54-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -0.13% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 49-61 against the Run Line (-16.7 Units / -11.95% ROI).
- 57-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -5.98% ROI
- 46-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.4 Units / -16.2% ROI
- 60-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.45 Units / 7.85% ROI
Mariners vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Mariners vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Victor Robles (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mariners vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Mariners vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Phillips (PHI) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Bryan Woo (SEA) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Phillips has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 15.0 innings pitched — Carlos Estevez has the longest active streak at 24.2.
Tyler Phillips has pitched 15.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Ben Joyce has the longest active streak at 21.1.
Tyler Phillips has allowed an OPS of just .315 (29 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in his last two starts — 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .660 — 94th Percentile.
Tyler Phillips has an ERA of 0.00 (15.0 IP) in his last two starts — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.89 — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Woo has a strike rate of 72% (558/772) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 74% of the time (1,646/2,220) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 72% of the time (516/720) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 77% of the time (594/772) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Phillies are 56-9 (.862) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Phillies are 15-10 (.600) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Phillies are just 2-9 (.182) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 28-14 (.667) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .509.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Mariners are 105-19 (.847) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
The Mariners are 100-17 (.855) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Mariners are 194-4 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mariners are 7-40 (.149) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .106.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging just .211 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .341 (1,349 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .780 (3,218 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .776 (4,967 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .218 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Mariners are batting just .229 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .358 (135 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .690.
The Mariners are batting just .204 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .182 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 22% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.65 (492.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.95.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.41 (284.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
The Mariners have allowed 3.04 runs per game (164/54) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.39.
Mariners vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.P. Crawford (Seattle Mariners): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Dominic Canzone (Seattle Mariners): Thigh, 10-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Achilles, 60-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Julio Rodriguez (Seattle Mariners): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 60-Day IL
- Rodolfo Castro (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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