- The Phillies are -160 favorites vs the Reds
- Phillies vs Reds Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Phillies / Reds TV Channel: WCAU | BSOH | ESPN+ | MLBN
The Philadelphia Phillies (-175) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+145) on Thursday, April 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Phillies are 15-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 13-11 ATS.
Phillies vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 1-3, 2.30 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 0-0, 4.77 ERA
Phillies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 -105 | O 7.5 +100 | -175 |
| Reds | +1.5 -115 | U 7.5 -120 | +145 |
Phillies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 62.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- No trends found
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+14.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+13.35 Units / 58% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+11.50 Units / 230% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+9.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+4.95 Units / 21% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 74 of their last 139 games (+16.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 67 games at home (+4.23 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 11-14 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 15-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 10-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 14-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 13-11 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 14-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 14-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 9-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Reds vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brandon Marsh (PHI) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Reds vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Reds vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (1,747/4,078) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OPS of just .209 (79 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .488 — 98th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (652/1,523) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has struck out 36% (23/63) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .367 (29-for-79) against Nick Martinez on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 12th highest among among 125 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .271 — ninth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .424 (14-for-33) against Nick Martinez on low fastballs since last season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .270 — fifth Percentile.
Nick Martinez has located his fastball inside 50% of the time (367/728) since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 36% — 98th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has located his fastball inside 50% of the time (367/728) since last season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 36% — 97th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Phillies are 29-123 (.191) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Phillies are 64-42 (.604) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Phillies are 19-125 (.132) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Phillies are 23-12 (.657) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Reds are just 43-47 (.478) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Reds are just 29-13 (.690) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Reds are just 55-40 (.579) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Reds are 22-8 (.733) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .777 (2,222 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Phillies hitters are slugging .501 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .774 (3,971 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Phillies hitters are slugging .440 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have 27 extra-base hits out of 51 total hits (53%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Reds are 32-15 (.681) against the run line (22.8% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Reds are batting just .198 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Reds hitters have 74 extra-base hits out of 176 total hits (42%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .300 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .329 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,311 of 13,446 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
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